inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 80 Excitement5.8 [681] MVPDahntay Jones (MEM): +16.4%
Memphis Grizzlies 95 Comeback1.1 [648] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -29.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.020.01490%0.1000.00250%0.00
Antawn Jamison0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.040.001350%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Etan Thomas0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00667%0.072-0.05367%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.021258%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00744%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Calvin Booth-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0210%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Caron Butler-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.012149%0.043-0.093100%0.01
Antonio Daniels-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.14-0.09-0.00617%-0.094-0.1300%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.290,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.27-0.05-0.031210%-0.224-0.07520%-0.06

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.050.01487%0.191-0.038100%0.04
Chucky Atkins0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.021068%0.163-0.072100%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.000.02872%0.132-0.06989%0.03
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.00750%0.0500.0000%0.00
Lawrence Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00275%0.051-0.024100%0.02
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.01450%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.011245%-0.001-0.02771%-0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.02-0.011030%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011334%-0.051-0.03650%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.527.416.427.62.630.5132.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +18.9%
MEM +31.6%
WAS -17.3%
MEM +15.9%
MEM +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMEMNBAWASMEMNBA
this game15.116.215.487.9102.2104.5
season14.815.1107.8105.1
opponent15.115.3110.1108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.014.814.916.015.1
MEM15.015.815.818.316.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Etan Thomas46460.02-0.520.53-0.073-182114.815.5-0.7716.915.41.51
Roger Mason Jr.330.00-0.500.50-0.031-161714.315.2-0.8419.716.03.63
Andray Blatche55-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-151513.615.2-1.6316.416.10.26
Calvin Booth77-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-12919.414.84.6413.416.4-2.94
Jarvis Hayes2728-0.10-0.400.300.07-6-9314.415.5-1.0516.016.2-0.16
DeShawn Stevenson4848-0.14-0.360.21-0.08-2-131115.115.2-0.1317.314.92.44
Donell Taylor1112-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-7-115.615.10.5615.516.2-0.75
Antonio Daniels6567-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-7-115.015.4-0.3915.916.9-1.07
Gilbert Arenas6163-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-6-314.616.2-1.5315.816.9-1.06
Brendan Haywood3840-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.11-13-2-1115.714.80.9314.617.3-2.63
Antawn Jamison5556-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-150-1515.714.31.3916.615.41.24
Caron Butler8990-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.06-150-1515.214.01.1716.216.00.16

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller84830.440.060.380.061321116.216.00.1714.917.6-2.72
Lawrence Roberts36340.430.070.360.08123915.016.9-1.9215.614.80.80
Damon Stoudamire38360.330.170.160.1569-315.816.4-0.5216.114.51.60
Dahntay Jones57550.330.170.160.01114716.315.90.3415.115.10.01
Hakim Warrick65630.260.240.01-0.07114715.318.0-2.7014.616.3-1.70
Rudy Gay54520.240.26-0.020.09510-516.116.3-0.1815.414.80.65
Brian Cardinal19200.230.27-0.030.09510-518.715.53.1817.014.62.44
Chucky Atkins55550.170.33-0.16-0.0996316.415.80.5214.516.1-1.60
Stromile Swift57570.070.43-0.36-0.02312-916.915.01.9214.815.6-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 97, HOU 1070.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,194.2%
WAS 89, TOR 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.0%
LAL 80, SEA 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.0%