NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	5.9 [617]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +19.1%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	1.2 [1008]		LVP	Joe Smith (DET): -14.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	27	68%	0.30	4	-0.11	14	93%	0.06
Mikki Moore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mateen Cleaves	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	13	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	12	27%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	73%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	14	70%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.12	0.05	-0.08	19	43%	0.05	2	-0.04	11	55%	-0.05
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	17	58%	0.04	4	-0.11	11	91%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	26.7	15.8	26.3	1.7	28.3	125.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.7%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +7.7%

HOU +3.9%

DET -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	15.5	102.1	111.5	100.9
season	14.3	16.3		97.9	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.4		102.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	14.4	14.1	14.5	14.5
HOU	15.7	16.2	15.2	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	63	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-13	16	14.1	15.3	-1.26	16.0	15.0	0.98
Mateen Cleaves	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-8	6	12.9	15.1	-2.21	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Eric Montross	10	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-3	-4	16.0	14.3	1.67	13.6	15.9	-2.31
Billy Owens	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-2	-6	14.2	14.5	-0.29	15.7	15.6	0.02
Dana Barros	50	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-9	8	14.2	14.8	-0.56	15.6	15.7	-0.12
John Wallace	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-6	2	15.5	14.3	1.20	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Mikki Moore	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	14.3	14.7	-0.46	15.1	16.1	-0.94
Michael Curry	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	15.4	13.9	1.51	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Chucky Atkins	66	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-6	2	14.9	13.6	1.37	16.1	14.5	1.67
Joe Smith	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	14.7	14.2	0.42	16.1	14.9	1.23
Jerry Stackhouse	89	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.8	13.7	2.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	96	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	15.6	0.0	15.65	14.5	0.0	14.51
Maurice Taylor	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-1	12	15.4	16.3	-0.90	14.8	13.6	1.23
Cuttino Mobley	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	6	-2	15.4	16.1	-0.66	13.9	15.9	-2.05
Shandon Anderson	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	4	2	15.7	15.6	0.08	14.6	14.2	0.44
Kenny Thomas	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	0	10	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.9	13.9	0.99
Matt Bullard	35	35	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	8	-6	16.0	15.5	0.51	14.0	14.8	-0.75
Moochie Norris	24	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.08	14.2	14.6	-0.44
Walt Williams	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	4	2	16.1	15.4	0.66	15.9	13.9	2.05
Carlos Rogers	31	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	16.2	15.4	0.76	13.5	15.0	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 84, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHA 79, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.4%