NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	84		Excitement	5.4 [728]		MVP	Tarik Black (LAL): +22.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.2 [831]		LVP	Kyle O'Quinn (ORL): -11.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	7	58%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devyn Marble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.04	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	16	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	4	93%	0.22	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	47%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	53%	0.05	5	-0.10	10	50%	-0.05
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	13	29%	-0.03	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	30.9	15.7	23.5	2.5	35.2	133.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +7.5%

LAL +6.2%

LAL +31.1%

LAL +5.0%

LAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.7	15.1	85.7	101.0	104.2
season	14.9	15.5		100.4	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.3		108.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.6	12.0	13.1	13.8	13.3
LAL	13.7	15.7	18.2	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devyn Marble	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	10.9	13.5	-2.66	18.7	15.5	3.27
Ben Gordon	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-16	15	14.1	13.2	0.86	12.8	16.1	-3.27
Andrew Nicholson	35	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-21	25	11.8	14.2	-2.37	16.0	15.6	0.38
Dewayne Dedmon	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-15	13	14.1	13.2	0.86	12.3	16.2	-3.90
Elfrid Payton	45	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-2	-13	13.8	12.9	0.83	16.9	14.9	2.05
Evan Fournier	38	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-15	13	13.2	13.4	-0.23	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Kyle O'Quinn	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-8	-1	12.6	14.3	-1.72	16.6	14.6	2.07
Channing Frye	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-8	-1	14.4	12.6	1.76	14.1	16.8	-2.77
Luke Ridnour	51	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-12	7	12.9	13.8	-0.89	14.5	17.3	-2.74
Tobias Harris	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	13.4	13.2	0.22	15.9	15.4	0.51
Victor Oladipo	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-2	-13	13.5	12.9	0.56	16.2	14.7	1.44
Nikola Vucevic	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	1	-19	14.1	12.2	1.90	16.5	14.8	1.79

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	76	74	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.10	16	1	15	15.6	16.3	-0.78	13.5	12.9	0.60
Jeremy Lin	63	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	8	1	15.1	16.8	-1.74	13.4	13.2	0.15
Wayne Ellington	56	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	5	7	16.4	14.9	1.52	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Carlos Boozer	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	9	-1	15.2	16.4	-1.25	13.8	12.8	0.93
Tarik Black	34	33	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	7	3	16.3	15.5	0.84	14.3	12.8	1.43
Ed Davis	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	8	1	16.4	15.2	1.25	12.8	13.8	-0.93
Jordan Hill	48	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	10	-3	16.1	15.4	0.66	12.7	13.9	-1.16
Nick Young	42	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	16	-15	14.6	16.5	-1.89	13.5	13.2	0.38
Ronnie Price	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	3	11	16.8	14.7	2.06	13.5	13.1	0.41
Jordan Clarkson	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	18	-19	16.5	15.6	0.93	12.4	13.5	-1.13
Robert Sacre	18	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	17	-17	13.8	16.2	-2.39	13.2	13.4	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 67, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
PHX 88, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DET 97, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%