NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	4.5 [929]		MVP	Randy Foye (UTA): +13.2%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.0 [1298]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (PHX): -16.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	16	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Diante Garrett	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	18	49%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	7	71%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	7	37%	-0.00	5	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	7	19%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	6	100%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	15	71%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	23	53%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	7	56%	0.04	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	27.5	16.7	26.2	2.3	25.4	121.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.7%

PHX -7.2%

UTA +8.1%

UTA +3.0%

UTA +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.5	15.4	92.6	109.6	104.1
season	15.2	16.0		99.7	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		105.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.1	13.0	12.8	14.5	14.0
UTA	16.6	17.2	14.9	17.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	12	11	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-18	21	12.7	14.2	-1.55	16.3	16.5	-0.22
PJ Tucker	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-13	11	14.5	13.6	0.89	15.3	17.5	-2.18
Hamed Haddadi	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-13	11	13.7	14.1	-0.33	20.1	16.0	4.06
Shannon Brown	17	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-15	15	12.3	14.4	-2.10	16.1	16.6	-0.49
Jermaine O'Neal	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-14	13	14.0	14.0	-0.03	15.7	16.9	-1.14
Diante Garrett	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	13.9	14.1	-0.18	17.1	16.2	0.85
Kendall Marshall	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-8	1	14.1	13.9	0.18	16.2	17.1	-0.85
Markieff Morris	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-5	-5	14.1	13.8	0.34	16.4	16.6	-0.13
Wesley Johnson	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	0	-15	14.4	12.3	2.10	16.6	16.1	0.49
Jared Dudley	50	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-2	-11	13.6	14.5	-0.89	17.5	15.3	2.18
Luis Scola	66	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.01	-20	5	-25	14.2	13.6	0.68	16.3	16.7	-0.40

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	81	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-5	25	16.3	17.5	-1.24	14.3	12.6	1.70
Al Jefferson	84	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	1	13	16.2	19.1	-2.95	14.1	13.4	0.69
Randy Foye	52	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	4	7	15.5	17.6	-2.08	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Derrick Favors	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	5	5	16.9	16.0	0.85	14.8	13.2	1.56
Mo Williams	59	61	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	8	-1	15.9	17.5	-1.58	13.6	14.9	-1.30
Paul Millsap	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	10	-5	16.0	16.9	-0.85	13.2	14.8	-1.56
Marvin Williams	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	11	-7	17.6	15.5	2.08	14.2	13.8	0.39
Alec Burks	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	14	-13	17.1	16.0	1.19	14.2	13.9	0.23
Jamaal Tinsley	8	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	13	-11	19.1	16.2	2.90	14.3	14.0	0.34
Enes Kanter	5	6	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	13	-11	22.6	16.1	6.48	13.7	14.0	-0.38
Jeremy Evans	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	15.6	16.5	-0.92	13.0	14.1	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 84, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 88, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
BKN 91, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.3%