NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	5.0 [798]		MVP	Jon Barry (SAC): +13.6%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	1.0 [917]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -17.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.04
Travis Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
A.C. Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	30	47%	0.06	7	-0.15	8	75%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	22	45%	-0.09	3	-0.08	12	42%	-0.08

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	6	94%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	100%	-0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	10	48%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	12	46%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	21	48%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	28%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	29.5	19.3	27.3	2.8	40.2	149.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.3%

LAL -3.1%

SAC +2.7%

SAC +6.2%

LAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.2	91.7	104.1	101.7
season	15.3	13.8		105.6	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.1		100.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	12.9	18.8	12.9	14.9
SAC	12.8	15.9	16.4	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salley	1	2	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-14	15	8.0	15.0	-7.01	10.5	15.0	-4.50
Travis Knight	3	5	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-14	15	9.0	15.1	-6.13	8.8	15.2	-6.44
Rick Fox	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-14	15	16.0	14.8	1.17	17.4	14.6	2.80
Robert Horry	46	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-11	9	12.8	16.9	-4.18	14.7	15.1	-0.48
Brian Shaw	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	13.2	16.8	-3.58	14.7	15.1	-0.47
Ron Harper	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-2	-9	16.6	12.5	4.09	15.1	14.7	0.39
A.C. Green	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-2	-9	16.9	12.8	4.18	15.1	14.7	0.48
Kobe Bryant	92	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	14.8	18.2	-3.46	14.9	14.7	0.16
Glen Rice	82	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	0	-13	14.9	15.4	-0.49	14.7	16.4	-1.78
Shaquille O'Neal	92	90	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	2	-17	15.2	8.7	6.46	15.3	9.3	6.06

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	91	91	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.03	21	-8	29	15.0	13.7	1.32	15.2	9.6	5.63
Vlade Divac	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	14.8	15.3	-0.57	15.8	12.4	3.36
Jon Barry	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	5	3	15.3	14.4	0.90	12.9	17.2	-4.34
Corliss Williamson	39	38	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	4	5	14.6	15.1	-0.45	18.0	12.9	5.11
Nick Anderson	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	5	3	15.1	14.7	0.44	16.7	12.8	3.87
Tony Delk	45	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	9	-5	14.8	15.0	-0.16	13.2	16.4	-3.28
Jason Williams	55	55	0.20	0.29	-0.09	-0.00	7	6	1	14.5	15.5	-1.00	15.9	13.6	2.27
Peja Stojakovic	52	51	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	12	-11	14.7	15.1	-0.34	12.9	17.3	-4.43
Scot Pollard	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	17	-21	15.5	14.7	0.83	12.5	15.8	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 95, NOP 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
BKN 91, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.3%
WAS 94, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	95.2%