NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	5.3 [793]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +15.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1233]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -13.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Laron Profit	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	5	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damone Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.02	28	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	48%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	22	45%	-0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	19	56%	0.16	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	0.00	16	59%	0.15	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.03
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	9	79%	0.14	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	67%	0.05	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	14	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	30.6	15.6	30.1	1.7	33.3	139.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.3%

LAC +13.7%

LAC +9.5%

LAC +7.9%

WAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.3	15.4	15.5	93.1	98.0	104.0
season	14.7	16.0		104.7	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	13.8	14.5	10.7	13.3
LAC	14.6	15.7	15.5	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.40	13	-17	30	9.9	14.1	-4.25	16.0	15.2	0.71
Etan Thomas	26	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	13.1	13.3	-0.20	16.3	15.1	1.23
Steve Blake	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-2	0	14.7	12.8	1.89	16.1	15.2	0.95
Kwame Brown	47	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-3	2	14.3	12.4	1.85	16.6	14.2	2.32
Brendan Haywood	53	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-3	2	14.0	12.5	1.50	15.5	15.3	0.22
Michael Ruffin	16	16	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	4	-12	13.9	13.2	0.72	12.7	15.9	-3.23
Damone Brown	39	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	7	-18	12.4	13.8	-1.35	14.0	16.3	-2.25
Jared Jeffries	77	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	13.0	14.2	-1.18	15.2	16.1	-0.96
Gilbert Arenas	101	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.3	0.0	13.27	15.4	0.0	15.40
Larry Hughes	101	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.3	0.0	13.27	15.4	0.0	15.40

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	84	82	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-6	16	15.4	15.5	-0.12	13.8	11.1	2.66
Bobby Simmons	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-12	28	14.8	18.2	-3.37	13.3	13.0	0.33
Shaun Livingston	51	50	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-11	26	14.4	16.4	-2.02	13.8	12.7	1.05
Chris Kaman	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	-2	8	15.0	15.9	-0.93	14.2	12.2	2.01
Zeljko Rebraca	49	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	2	0	16.2	14.6	1.58	13.0	13.5	-0.50
Quinton Ross	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	7	-10	14.8	15.9	-1.12	12.7	13.7	-0.96
Corey Maggette	76	79	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.47	-12	16	-28	16.0	13.6	2.39	12.7	15.2	-2.51
Marko Jaric	10	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	3	-2	16.0	15.3	0.67	13.9	13.2	0.74
Rick Brunson	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	12	-20	16.3	14.7	1.66	13.1	13.4	-0.29
Mikki Moore	6	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	11	-18	19.2	15.2	4.01	7.7	13.7	-5.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 70, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 86, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%