NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	70		Excitement	4.2 [974]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +16.6%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.1 [727]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -15.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	53%	0.02	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tornike Shengelia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Murphy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	41%	0.01	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.07	11	29%	-0.08	3	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	15	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	9	79%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.05
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.11	4	-0.09	15	60%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	110%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	32.5	15.4	34.5	2.6	33.2	146.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +53.7%

SAC +8.4%

SAC +8.7%

CHI -18.6%

CHI -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.9	15.1	71.4	103.1	105.2
season	16.3	15.4		101.1	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.3		107.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	14.9	15.3	18.0	15.8
SAC	15.0	15.1	13.5	12.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	33	33	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.29	-8	-21	13	16.8	15.2	1.54	14.0	13.8	0.19
Tornike Shengelia	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	20.0	15.6	4.41	14.6	13.9	0.73
Erik Murphy	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-27	25	15.2	15.8	-0.63	12.8	14.0	-1.23
Tony Snell	60	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.30	-15	-14	-1	15.6	16.0	-0.43	14.4	13.1	1.33
Taj Gibson	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-22	15	14.6	16.8	-2.15	15.5	12.5	3.02
D.J. Augustin	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.37	-20	-9	-11	15.6	16.0	-0.33	14.2	13.5	0.71
Joakim Noah	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-20	11	15.6	15.8	-0.21	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Jimmy Butler	74	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-16	3	15.1	17.7	-2.52	14.9	10.9	4.04
Mike Dunleavy	48	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.28	-22	-7	-15	16.8	14.8	2.05	12.4	15.3	-2.94
Kirk Hinrich	41	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-14	-1	16.2	15.4	0.78	13.0	14.5	-1.57
Carlos Boozer	75	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.33	-33	4	-37	15.9	15.5	0.38	12.9	16.9	-4.02

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	49	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.07	23	6	17	13.0	14.9	-1.85	15.9	15.6	0.35
Isaiah Thomas	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	12	5	14.0	13.8	0.19	15.2	17.0	-1.82
Quincy Acy	44	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	8	13	14.2	13.6	0.59	16.6	15.0	1.55
DeMarcus Cousins	67	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.29	21	8	13	13.6	14.7	-1.07	15.9	15.3	0.62
Rudy Gay	52	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	20	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.34	15.1	16.6	-1.46
Jason Thompson	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.23	13	16	-3	13.4	14.3	-0.87	16.4	15.3	1.11
Ben McLemore	38	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.32	15	14	1	14.1	13.8	0.37	16.7	15.1	1.62
Jimmer Fredette	21	23	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.39	17	12	5	11.7	14.5	-2.81	17.4	15.3	2.12
Derrick Williams	49	50	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.31	12	17	-5	14.7	13.1	1.53	14.9	16.7	-1.81
Carl Landry	22	21	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	27	-25	15.5	13.4	2.07	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Travis Outlaw	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	14.6	13.9	0.73	20.0	15.6	4.41
Aaron Gray	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	30	-31	13.7	13.9	-0.23	13.3	16.3	-2.98
Ray McCallum	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	34	-39	17.7	13.4	4.32	16.0	15.7	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 87, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 85, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%