NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	3.9 [1002]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +13.6%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.1 [1257]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -10.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	12	62%	0.11	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.02	0.06	19	63%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Fred Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	11	37%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.02	0.07	13	71%	0.14	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	14	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	11	50%	0.05	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	3.3	30.5	17.5	25.4	2.5	27.5	129.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.6%

DET +8.8%

NYK -1.1%

DET +15.6%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	18.1	16.4	15.4	102.4	118.1	105.7
season	15.7	16.8		103.1	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.5	17.4	21.4	15.7	18.1
DET	14.9	15.4	18.6	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-15	18	18.9	18.0	0.92	15.3	16.5	-1.27
Mardy Collins	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-12	12	0.0	18.3	-18.33	0.0	16.4	-16.37
Nate Robinson	28	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-17	22	17.0	18.7	-1.71	16.8	16.2	0.62
Fred Jones	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-10	8	18.3	18.0	0.26	16.7	16.2	0.46
David Lee	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-12	12	18.0	18.2	-0.24	17.4	15.5	1.86
Jared Jeffries	51	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-9	6	17.2	19.5	-2.37	16.9	15.5	1.42
Quentin Richardson	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-3	-6	19.5	17.2	2.37	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Jamal Crawford	60	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-3	-6	18.1	18.1	0.03	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Zach Randolph	51	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	3	-18	19.2	16.4	2.87	16.5	16.2	0.25
Eddy Curry	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	0	-12	17.7	19.5	-1.77	16.3	16.7	-0.45
Stephon Marbury	52	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	6	-24	18.3	17.8	0.43	15.5	17.7	-2.14

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	57	60	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.38	36	-24	60	16.5	16.1	0.43	19.1	15.5	3.59
Tayshaun Prince	64	66	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.16	28	-16	44	16.6	15.7	0.83	18.4	17.0	1.41
Antonio McDyess	57	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	-11	34	16.4	16.4	-0.02	18.4	17.6	0.76
Richard Hamilton	53	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-1	14	15.8	17.4	-1.61	17.3	19.5	-2.28
Rasheed Wallace	28	30	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	-5	22	14.6	17.3	-2.67	17.9	18.2	-0.32
Nazr Mohammed	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	17.0	15.9	1.06	19.6	17.1	2.44
Arron Afflalo	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	18	-24	17.4	15.9	1.47	18.5	17.9	0.51
Jason Maxiell	37	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.37	-12	24	-36	18.0	15.0	2.98	17.2	18.8	-1.55
Amir Johnson	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	21	-30	14.1	16.6	-2.54	17.4	18.2	-0.80
Ronald Murray	31	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.40	-19	31	-50	15.9	16.7	-0.80	16.6	18.9	-2.29
Jarvis Hayes	19	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.31	-16	28	-44	15.7	16.6	-0.83	17.0	18.4	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 70, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 87, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 97, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%