NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	3.8 [1091]		MVP	Thabo Sefolosha (ATL): +11.8%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	1.3 [1174]		LVP	Tim Frazier (POR): -16.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	92%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Luis Montero	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cliff Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	18	46%	-0.08	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.06
Gerald Henderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.05	11	43%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	0.05	8	44%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	15	36%	-0.07	5	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.02	6	81%	0.12	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	82%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	10	82%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	48%	-0.03	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	29.5	15.7	23.1	1.7	39.2	137.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.6%

ATL +5.9%

POR -13.9%

ATL +26.1%

ATL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	14.9	100.0	110.4	105.1
season	15.0	14.2		107.1	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.6		100.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.7	14.2	16.0	11.1	15.0
ATL	14.6	14.6	14.0	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cliff Alexander	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	9.0	15.1	-6.15	8.3	15.0	-6.70
Luis Montero	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	9.0	15.1	-6.15	8.3	15.0	-6.70
Pat Connaughton	3	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-8	7	9.0	15.2	-6.21	6.7	15.2	-8.42
Noah Vonleh	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	16.6	14.5	2.07	15.5	14.6	0.96
Mason Plumlee	56	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-7	5	13.7	16.9	-3.22	15.2	14.3	0.90
Meyers Leonard	43	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-5	1	16.9	13.5	3.43	14.4	15.2	-0.88
Gerald Henderson	53	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	15.1	14.9	0.16	15.0	14.6	0.46
Al-Farouq Aminu	55	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	13.4	17.1	-3.66	15.2	14.3	0.86
Ed Davis	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	17.6	13.4	4.21	14.7	14.9	-0.14
Maurice Harkless	46	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	1	-11	15.5	14.6	0.87	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Allen Crabbe	66	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	14.4	16.4	-2.06	15.2	14.0	1.26
Tim Frazier	96	95	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	15.1	9.0	6.08	15.0	2.0	12.96

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	53	54	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-7	23	13.4	16.6	-3.19	15.3	14.7	0.66
Tiago Splitter	37	38	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-10	29	13.3	15.8	-2.44	17.2	13.6	3.56
Kyle Korver	58	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	-1	11	14.8	14.9	-0.16	15.2	14.6	0.60
Kent Bazemore	58	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	15.0	14.5	0.49	15.0	15.0	-0.05
Paul Millsap	52	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	-5	19	13.9	16.0	-2.09	15.1	15.0	0.12
Dennis Schroder	32	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-2	13	14.3	15.1	-0.81	17.6	13.7	3.92
Jeff Teague	65	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	9	-9	14.9	14.7	0.21	13.7	17.8	-4.05
Mike Scott	43	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	14	-19	15.9	14.0	1.88	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Mike Muscala	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	17.3	14.5	2.77	8.9	15.7	-6.82
Al Horford	48	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	15	-21	15.8	13.9	1.94	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Lamar Patterson	23	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.19	-11	20	-31	17.8	13.9	3.89	13.5	15.5	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, DEN 133	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 99, ORL 120	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ATL 84, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%