inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 107 Excitement4.4 [967] MVPPaul Millsap (DEN): +14.4%
Denver Nuggets 133 Comeback1.2 [1208] LVPJosh Okogie (MIN): -8.8%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0.100,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.010.022563%0.144-0.044100%0.02
C.J. Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.02869%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tyus Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.11-0.000.071080%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Cameron Reynolds0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.000.05786%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Dario Saric0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.02764%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02167%0.0000.004100%0.00
Keita Bates-Diop-0.020,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.051137%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Taj Gibson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02557%0.011-0.034100%0.02
Anthony Tolliver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02825%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Josh Okogie-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.0340%-0.032-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.160.030.041282%0.182-0.03475%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.220.020.111679%0.161-0.026100%0.03
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.150.010.048100%0.131-0.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.03875%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.011464%0.074-0.0500%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.01462%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.03558%0.042-0.02250%-0.01
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.000.05475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Welsh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04930%-0.022-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.52.729.515.726.62.841.2148.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.0%
MIN -2.2%
DEN +1.7%
DEN +10.7%
DEN +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game14.815.014.3111.5137.1109.3
season14.414.8110.2112.0
opponent14.614.0108.1111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.214.814.214.014.8
DEN13.815.216.414.715.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dario Saric40390.06-0.560.620.031-272814.315.2-0.8315.114.90.15
Gorgui Dieng10110.00-0.500.500.18-6-201413.615.0-1.3811.315.5-4.22
Jerryd Bayless4344-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-201414.115.4-1.2615.614.51.06
C.J. Williams3838-0.20-0.300.110.21-14-12-213.315.8-2.4714.615.3-0.75
Josh Okogie4646-0.22-0.280.050.16-13-13015.614.21.4114.815.2-0.31
Anthony Tolliver3332-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-15413.915.3-1.3614.715.1-0.39
Keita Bates-Diop6467-0.30-0.20-0.110.19-17-9-815.413.71.6314.815.4-0.56
Cameron Reynolds5254-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-15-11-414.015.8-1.7814.515.7-1.23
Tyus Jones5352-0.32-0.18-0.140.15-16-10-615.613.91.6815.214.80.43
Karl-Anthony Towns6363-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-11-415.413.71.7315.414.31.06
Taj Gibson3839-0.45-0.05-0.390.08-18-8-1016.014.11.9316.414.12.26

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton61620.420.080.350.041313015.613.91.6915.114.30.88
Paul Millsap64660.390.110.27-0.352512414.815.4-0.6315.313.81.50
Mason Plumlee41400.370.130.24-0.362512415.414.70.7415.314.50.76
Jamal Murray61630.310.190.12-0.282061414.615.6-1.0016.012.73.26
Gary Harris55550.310.190.11-0.221881015.214.70.4815.813.62.18
Monte Morris56540.270.230.03-0.201610615.514.41.0713.716.3-2.62
Malik Beasley42410.190.31-0.11-0.04818-1014.715.2-0.4813.615.8-2.18
Nikola Jokic51520.170.33-0.170.11224-2215.514.51.0515.114.50.62
Torrey Craig28260.080.42-0.340.11-127-2814.915.1-0.1713.215.4-2.25
Jarred Vanderbilt970.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2412.915.2-2.3412.415.0-2.59
Juancho Hernangomez980.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2412.915.2-2.3412.215.1-2.82
Thomas Welsh860.000.50-0.50-0.06224-2211.415.3-3.9613.015.0-1.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 108, LAL 1190.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
POR 103, HOU 1180.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
DET 74, NOH 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%