inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 103 Excitement4.0 [1043] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +25.2%
Houston Rockets 118 Comeback1.0 [1216] LVPWesley Matthews (POR): -12.3%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.160,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.030.022361%0.1600.00560%-0.01
Nicolas Batum0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.020.061280%0.143-0.066100%0.01
Victor Claver0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.040.01-0.08642%0.052-0.0100%0.00
Damian Lillard0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.010.031362%0.072-0.04367%-0.01
Joel Freeland0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Barton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Luke Babbitt-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.04350%-0.0300.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.040,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.031155%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Meyers Leonard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01312%-0.0400.00250%-0.00
Nolan Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00737%-0.041-0.012100%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.02-0.02911%-0.101-0.0300%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.270.020.041692%0.303-0.04683%0.01
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.020.001173%0.1200.0000%0.00
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.011471%0.152-0.0500%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.021067%0.072-0.04450%-0.02
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01-0.04941%0.0200.00475%0.01
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03736%0.0200.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01233%-0.0210.002100%0.00
James Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.831.015.824.01.826.3123.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +55.3%
POR -3.7%
POR -0.2%
POR -0.9%
POR -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORHOUNBAPORHOUNBA
this game17.414.415.4114.4129.7104.1
season15.814.2104.3107.9
opponent15.415.3105.0107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR18.617.516.517.117.4
HOU13.512.515.516.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Freeland780.00-0.500.50-0.124-192315.917.6-1.7113.114.5-1.41
Nolan Smith2729-0.03-0.470.45-0.113-182116.018.0-1.9915.713.81.93
Meyers Leonard3535-0.07-0.430.37-0.101-161716.518.0-1.5516.013.42.59
Will Barton1516-0.08-0.420.33-0.142-171916.317.7-1.3213.514.6-1.10
Victor Claver4243-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-10517.017.8-0.8614.714.10.55
Luke Babbitt1414-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-131118.617.21.3512.414.8-2.34
JJ Hickson3939-0.34-0.16-0.190.12-161-1719.016.22.8113.615.0-1.38
Wesley Matthews6666-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-150-1517.816.51.3313.915.7-1.81
Nicolas Batum6970-0.41-0.09-0.310.00-14-1-1317.317.9-0.6114.613.70.90
LaMarcus Aldridge7373-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-150-1517.318.1-0.8414.912.62.31
Damian Lillard6362-0.47-0.03-0.450.05-183-2118.016.01.9913.815.7-1.93

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden71710.56-0.060.63-0.0521-62713.916.3-2.4917.218.3-1.12
Chandler Parsons71710.52-0.020.53-0.0419-42314.613.51.1017.517.20.28
Patrick Patterson53520.490.010.48-0.0117-21914.214.7-0.4317.317.7-0.39
Omer Asik55560.380.120.26-0.031411313.915.2-1.2618.316.02.35
Jeremy Lin50500.330.170.150.03105513.715.3-1.6117.717.10.65
Patrick Beverley37370.130.37-0.240.01411-715.014.01.0017.517.40.09
Carlos Delfino41420.130.37-0.24-0.0878-114.714.10.5917.017.8-0.81
Toney Douglas430.040.46-0.410.01114-1318.014.23.7612.017.6-5.62
Cole Aldrich29270.040.46-0.420.13-318-2116.013.62.3916.018.0-1.99
Donatas Motiejunas650.000.50-0.500.09-318-2113.514.5-0.9717.617.40.18
Greg Smith650.000.50-0.500.09-318-2113.514.5-0.9717.617.40.18
Marcus Morris2019-0.030.53-0.560.06-318-2115.514.11.4717.617.40.18
James Anderson1212-0.090.59-0.680.09-621-2713.214.6-1.3319.317.12.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 88, DET 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MIN 107, DEN 1330.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
ATL 93, SAS 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%