NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	74		Excitement	3.4 [1161]		MVP	David West (NOH): +18.6%
New Orleans Hornets	93		Comeback	1.3 [1189]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -13.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	13	70%	0.05	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Greg Monroe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	5	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Austin Daye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	9	11%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.21	0.03	0.06	14	76%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.02	0.05	12	85%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	70%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	42%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	37%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	9	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.3	25.4	15.5	33.4	2.5	26.3	130.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +39.4%

NOH +8.5%

NOH +0.9%

NOH +2.6%

DET -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOH	NBA	DET	NOH	NBA
this game	17.4	15.6	15.5	85.1	105.7	105.7
season	16.7	16.2		106.4	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.2		104.4	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.3	17.7	18.5	15.3	17.4
NOH	16.8	15.9	15.0	14.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.2	17.7	-5.48	18.5	15.3	3.16
Will Bynum	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.2	17.7	-5.48	18.5	15.3	3.16
Greg Monroe	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-16	13	16.4	18.2	-1.76	15.6	15.5	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-17	15	16.0	17.8	-1.71	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Austin Daye	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-14	9	16.7	17.9	-1.16	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.26	-15	-4	-11	17.0	17.6	-0.61	14.0	16.7	-2.69
Ben Gordon	53	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-10	1	16.3	19.0	-2.68	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Tayshaun Prince	41	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-10	1	18.6	16.3	2.30	16.1	15.1	1.06
Ben Wallace	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-6	-7	18.4	16.4	2.00	15.9	15.3	0.62
Rodney Stuckey	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	-2	-15	17.9	16.0	1.92	15.6	15.5	0.11
Richard Hamilton	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	-5	-9	18.4	16.3	2.08	15.9	15.2	0.73
Jason Maxiell	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-3	-13	18.2	16.4	1.76	15.5	15.6	-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	-3	25	15.5	15.6	-0.09	18.8	15.2	3.58
Trevor Ariza	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.26	24	-5	29	15.3	15.9	-0.62	19.2	14.7	4.47
Chris Paul	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.26	24	-5	29	15.3	15.9	-0.62	19.2	14.7	4.47
Emeka Okafor	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	2	15	15.9	15.2	0.68	19.0	15.2	3.78
Marco Belinelli	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	12	-5	16.3	14.7	1.62	17.9	16.7	1.19
Quincy Pondexter	36	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	22	-25	15.9	15.3	0.51	14.2	19.4	-5.14
Jason Smith	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	18	-17	15.5	15.6	-0.03	15.6	19.2	-3.57
Willie Green	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	17	-15	15.2	15.8	-0.57	16.1	18.3	-2.24
David Andersen	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	21	-23	15.1	15.8	-0.62	14.6	18.7	-4.12
Jarrett Jack	42	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	16	-13	15.4	15.7	-0.34	15.9	18.7	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 80, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
WAS 80, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%