inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 80 Excitement3.5 [1118] MVPDevin Harris (DAL): +11.1%
Dallas Mavericks 102 Comeback1.1 [1144] LVPJosh Howard (DAL): -8.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Croshere0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.010.01485%0.1000.005100%0.02
Stephen Jackson0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02875%0.105-0.0900%0.00
Eddie Gill0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06278%0.0000.005100%0.00
Scot Pollard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Harrison-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Fred Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.02546%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Jeff Foster-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.03117%-0.021-0.00425%-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011741%-0.0400.00333%-0.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00560%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.001150%0.023-0.072100%0.00
Danny Granger-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03629%-0.012-0.052100%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.03825%-0.042-0.0300%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.010.021265%0.1100.00757%-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.010.021653%0.0600.0011100%0.04
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.110.000.06675%0.0500.00887%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.001065%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00175%0.0010.00250%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02367%0.0020.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01933%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.011535%-0.052-0.04475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.528.415.827.71.728.3128.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +6.1%
DAL +11.4%
DAL +20.2%
DAL +13.5%
IND -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDALNBAINDDALNBA
this game16.616.715.692.0118.6104.4
season16.016.4102.3109.0
opponent15.615.5102.9100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.017.216.716.516.6
DAL17.616.316.017.016.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Gill12120.00-0.500.50-0.186-283412.217.3-5.0216.016.8-0.84
Scot Pollard12120.00-0.500.50-0.186-283412.217.3-5.0216.016.8-0.84
David Harrison2523-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-201816.416.6-0.2516.916.70.20
Jeff Foster2524-0.13-0.370.250.05-6-161016.316.7-0.4114.717.5-2.85
Anthony Johnson2828-0.16-0.340.170.31-16-6-1019.415.24.1615.317.4-2.08
Sarunas Jasikevicius3840-0.20-0.290.09-0.12-3-191614.618.1-3.4517.715.91.83
Danny Granger4341-0.24-0.260.01-0.07-6-161017.615.61.9414.918.4-3.48
Fred Jones4745-0.26-0.24-0.020.30-19-3-1618.114.73.3816.117.4-1.33
Austin Croshere3737-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-11016.216.8-0.6217.416.21.20
Jamaal Tinsley4746-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-12-10-216.017.2-1.2517.815.52.24
Stephen Jackson6060-0.42-0.08-0.340.17-20-2-1816.317.1-0.8317.714.43.35
Jermaine O'Neal6162-0.44-0.06-0.390.35-275-3217.414.62.7917.215.41.87

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki61630.450.050.40-0.2624-22617.215.61.6416.815.90.91
Jason Terry49480.420.080.34-0.3125-32817.615.52.0718.014.83.13
Josh Howard62600.410.090.32-0.182021817.814.03.7216.417.0-0.67
Adrian Griffin58600.320.180.140.09814-617.116.01.0716.816.00.78
DeSagana Diop38370.320.180.14-0.3623-12414.818.2-3.3718.914.84.13
Devin Harris55570.220.28-0.06-0.131210215.918.2-2.3516.616.60.01
Erick Dampier37380.180.32-0.140.01616-1018.515.43.1515.617.3-1.67
Jerry Stackhouse35360.180.32-0.14-0.141111014.118.5-4.4917.116.20.87
Josh Powell12120.000.50-0.500.18-628-3416.016.8-0.8412.217.3-5.02
Darrell Armstrong12120.000.50-0.500.18-628-3416.016.8-0.8412.217.3-5.02
DJ Mbenga11120.000.50-0.500.21-729-3617.216.70.5312.217.3-5.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 79, IND 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
GSW 113, LAL 1300.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
POR 66, CHI 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%