inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 113 Excitement4.3 [965] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +20.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 130 Comeback1.1 [1293] LVPStephen Jackson (GSW): -11.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.00-0.031158%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Kelenna Azubuike0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.03-0.03957%0.102-0.03367%-0.00
Jamal Crawford0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.10-0.020.021273%0.143-0.086100%0.03
Brandan Wright0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.011050%0.0500.00875%-0.00
CJ Watson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.130.000.08787%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Rob Kurz0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.10491%0.0000.003100%0.00
DeMarcus Nelson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00938%-0.0200.0030%-0.04
Anthony Randolph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.01450%-0.002-0.04450%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.0320%-0.023-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.010.01945%0.005-0.122100%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.210.020.021577%0.242-0.0410100%0.05
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.010.041279%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.011252%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.061077%0.102-0.05250%-0.01
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02450%0.0400.00425%-0.02
Pau Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.02-0.041052%0.083-0.055100%0.03
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02665%0.072-0.04580%-0.01
Luke Walton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04943%0.032-0.023100%0.01
Sun Yue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04636%0.001-0.00250%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.01540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.01.831.015.828.11.029.0135.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +17.4%
LAL +13.8%
LAL +9.4%
LAL +7.2%
LAL +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game14.014.215.5111.9126.2106.4
season13.814.9107.3110.6
opponent15.415.0102.6111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.314.014.312.314.0
LAL12.513.213.917.414.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarcus Nelson1517-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-192111.114.5-3.4817.513.63.91
Anthony Morrow1517-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-192111.114.5-3.4817.513.63.91
Rob Kurz1819-0.01-0.490.49-0.062-192111.914.5-2.6118.113.34.78
Anthony Randolph1922-0.16-0.340.170.01-6-11510.714.8-4.1215.913.72.17
CJ Watson4949-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-6-11512.915.1-2.2015.812.73.08
Brandan Wright6565-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-6-11514.712.91.8213.914.8-0.93
Andris Biedrins5455-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-9-8-115.612.23.3612.815.8-2.93
Jamal Crawford5959-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-10-7-314.713.01.7213.115.7-2.54
Stephen Jackson6264-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-7-315.212.13.1412.916.4-3.47
Marco Belinelli5861-0.33-0.17-0.150.08-14-3-1115.012.72.3213.615.1-1.55
Ronny Turiaf4645-0.37-0.13-0.230.07-15-2-1313.514.5-0.9713.914.4-0.56
Kelenna Azubuike4542-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-15-2-1313.414.6-1.2214.114.3-0.14

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant69670.50-0.000.50-0.0519-22112.916.9-4.0415.211.83.37
Andrew Bynum54540.400.100.30-0.1318-11914.014.5-0.5114.313.70.57
Lamar Odom47480.360.140.22-0.2822-52714.414.00.4513.514.5-1.05
Derek Fisher52510.320.180.13-0.151611513.614.8-1.1515.112.92.16
Pau Gasol64630.300.200.10-0.02116513.115.9-2.8115.611.44.27
Trevor Ariza56560.280.220.05-0.05116515.712.43.2312.316.1-3.79
Luke Walton50490.220.28-0.050.11413-912.715.6-2.9615.912.23.67
Sasha Vujacic68660.210.29-0.070.01710-315.012.72.3012.916.1-3.15
Josh Powell16140.000.50-0.500.15-522-2717.213.63.6110.314.6-4.35
Sun Yue1414-0.030.53-0.560.15-623-2918.613.55.1410.014.7-4.68
Vladimir Radmanovic2523-0.060.56-0.620.29-1229-4115.013.91.1012.414.5-2.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 79, IND 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
IND 80, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ATL 89, PHI 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%