NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	4.0 [1031]		MVP	Kevin Martin (OKC): +13.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Comeback	1.2 [1296]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -17.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	9	55%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.07	11	54%	0.05	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jan Vesely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	14	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	12	31%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
John Wall	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	0.00	18	35%	-0.14	3	-0.04	15	80%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	9	82%	0.14	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.01	8	78%	0.20	4	-0.07	11	91%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	2.6	30.4	15.5	27.6	1.8	31.3	139.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +47.8%

OKC +13.3%

WAS -9.6%

OKC +0.2%

WAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	OKC	NBA	WAS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.7	15.4	87.0	110.8	104.1
season	15.1	14.8		98.8	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.6	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.8	18.1	13.0	17.2	16.5
OKC	15.5	14.0	12.8	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-26	29	16.9	16.3	0.66	15.3	14.4	0.90
Cartier Martin	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-11	-1	17.4	15.6	1.85	14.4	14.9	-0.42
Kevin Seraphin	59	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-9	-5	16.5	16.5	-0.09	14.7	14.5	0.24
Emeka Okafor	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-12	1	16.2	16.9	-0.68	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Trevor Booker	53	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-2	-19	16.5	16.5	-0.04	15.4	13.8	1.63
John Wall	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	-4	-15	16.0	18.2	-2.22	14.1	16.4	-2.31
Chris Singleton	76	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	-5	-13	16.6	15.9	0.67	14.6	14.9	-0.24
Garrett Temple	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	0	-23	16.4	17.0	-0.64	14.8	13.9	0.89

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	2	19	14.3	15.4	-1.05	16.0	17.5	-1.45
Serge Ibaka	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	5	13	14.4	15.1	-0.65	15.8	17.6	-1.75
Nick Collison	40	38	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	4	15	14.5	14.7	-0.19	18.3	15.2	3.16
Reggie Jackson	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	10	3	15.9	13.6	2.23	16.9	16.1	0.79
Thabo Sefolosha	40	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	14	-5	13.9	15.2	-1.37	14.8	17.9	-3.13
Kevin Martin	42	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	11	1	15.1	14.3	0.76	18.2	15.1	3.12
Russell Westbrook	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	13	-3	13.9	15.5	-1.59	16.1	16.9	-0.79
Derek Fisher	27	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	19	-15	14.1	14.9	-0.82	18.4	15.8	2.68
Kendrick Perkins	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	20	-17	14.4	14.9	-0.48	15.1	17.7	-2.59
Hasheem Thabeet	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	21	-19	15.4	14.3	1.05	17.5	16.0	1.45
Jeremy Lamb	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	15.9	14.5	1.42	16.5	16.5	0.06
Ronnie Brewer	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	16.2	14.5	1.73	15.4	16.6	-1.22
Perry Jones	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	16.2	14.5	1.73	15.4	16.6	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 79, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BKN 88, MIA 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIA 69, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%