NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	88		Excitement	3.5 [1108]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (MIA): +25.2%
Miami Heat	117		Comeback	1.0 [957]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): -13.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	65%	0.07	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rodions Kurucs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Treveon Graham	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	12	32%	-0.09	3	-0.04	7	86%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.04	-0.02	13	83%	0.25	2	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	10	82%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.13	0.00	0.13	9	85%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	12%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	32%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	0.00	12	37%	-0.09	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	25.4	14.5	26.5	2.6	29.2	125.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.1%

MIA +2.8%

MIA +8.7%

BKN -0.6%

MIA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	14.3	91.7	118.2	109.3
season	14.3	14.8		108.6	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.0		106.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.7	15.4	16.0	14.0	15.0
MIA	14.2	14.6	14.7	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.25	-9	-20	11	14.0	15.3	-1.34	14.8	14.5	0.33
Jared Dudley	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.12	-5	-24	19	15.7	14.8	0.87	12.2	15.0	-2.82
DeMarre Carroll	36	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-24	19	16.4	14.1	2.33	14.7	14.5	0.25
D'Angelo Russell	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.21	-13	-16	3	15.7	14.3	1.35	14.6	14.5	0.13
Rodions Kurucs	54	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-22	15	14.0	16.3	-2.26	14.8	14.2	0.62
Ed Davis	25	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-19	9	16.6	14.4	2.18	14.8	14.5	0.32
Treveon Graham	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-18	7	14.2	15.4	-1.13	14.7	14.5	0.29
Spencer Dinwiddie	48	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-18	7	14.6	15.4	-0.85	14.9	14.2	0.78
Caris LeVert	60	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.38	-22	-7	-15	14.7	15.5	-0.82	14.6	14.4	0.24
Jarrett Allen	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-18	7	14.4	15.4	-0.94	14.6	14.5	0.08
Allen Crabbe	45	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-15	1	14.8	15.2	-0.44	14.4	14.7	-0.21
Joe Harris	54	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	-2	-25	15.6	14.1	1.51	14.1	15.1	-1.07

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bam Adebayo	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	6	17	14.4	14.8	-0.36	15.5	14.3	1.18
Josh Richardson	73	70	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	1	27	14.6	14.4	0.23	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Kelly Olynyk	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	2	25	14.6	14.3	0.33	15.3	14.2	1.15
Justise Winslow	55	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	11	7	14.4	14.7	-0.27	15.5	14.4	1.08
Dion Waiters	55	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	7	15	14.6	14.5	0.18	15.4	14.4	0.96
Dwyane Wade	48	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	21	-13	14.2	14.9	-0.67	14.1	15.8	-1.65
Rodney McGruder	55	53	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.22	9	20	-11	14.3	14.8	-0.47	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	30	-31	13.6	14.6	-1.01	14.1	15.1	-0.91
Derrick Jones Jr.	54	51	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.22	8	21	-13	14.6	14.5	0.12	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Ryan Anderson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	15.4	14.5	0.89	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Duncan Robinson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	16.9	14.3	2.65	14.5	15.0	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 67, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DET 86, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DAL 90, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%