NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	2.9 [957]		MVP	Landry Fields (NYK): +19.8%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.0 [1031]		LVP	Brandon Knight (DET): -7.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	4	30%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Daye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	7	44%	0.03	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Walker Russell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Vernon Macklin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.14	-0.00	0.14	4	107%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	11	54%	0.05	6	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.02	-0.01	10	90%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	6	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.01	0.06	14	76%	0.13	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	8	37%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	80%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	7	73%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.0	31.2	17.5	28.5	2.5	31.5	138.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.5%

NYK +6.8%

DET -6.1%

NYK +12.2%

DET -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.6	93.5	120.2	102.8
season	16.3	14.9		99.5	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	16.8	16.6	15.9	16.3
NYK	14.6	16.0	13.4	14.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Macklin	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	15.1	16.5	-1.45	14.0	14.8	-0.77
Damien Wilkins	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-26	25	15.3	17.1	-1.86	15.5	14.1	1.42
Jonas Jerebko	30	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-21	15	15.3	16.8	-1.57	14.8	14.6	0.23
Walker Russell	41	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.25	-12	-15	3	16.0	16.5	-0.50	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Austin Daye	49	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-18	9	14.7	18.2	-3.45	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Jason Maxiell	45	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.00	-4	-23	19	15.3	17.3	-2.07	14.8	14.5	0.30
Ben Wallace	31	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	-10	-7	18.2	15.4	2.87	15.0	14.5	0.55
Brandon Knight	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	-8	-11	17.2	15.2	2.04	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Rodney Stuckey	47	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	-9	-9	17.6	15.0	2.64	15.0	14.3	0.78
Greg Monroe	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	-9	-9	16.8	15.5	1.32	14.7	14.5	0.22
Tayshaun Prince	52	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.28	-27	0	-27	17.0	15.4	1.55	14.2	15.3	-1.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	64	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.24	27	0	27	14.8	14.4	0.38	16.3	16.3	0.04
Tyson Chandler	63	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	0	27	14.3	15.5	-1.23	16.5	15.9	0.58
Landry Fields	62	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.23	25	2	23	14.5	15.0	-0.47	16.2	16.6	-0.36
Iman Shumpert	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	16	-5	14.8	14.4	0.41	16.9	14.8	2.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	56	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	15	-3	15.3	13.7	1.59	17.3	14.6	2.76
Jared Jeffries	44	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	20	-13	14.7	14.6	0.08	15.2	17.2	-2.00
Toney Douglas	39	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.22	12	15	-3	15.2	14.3	0.84	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Steve Novak	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	13.4	14.8	-1.33	16.9	16.3	0.57
Jeremy Lin	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	14.0	14.8	-0.77	15.4	16.5	-1.05
Renaldo Balkman	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	14.0	14.8	-0.77	15.4	16.5	-1.05
Jerome Jordan	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	14.3	14.7	-0.37	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Henry Walker	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	27	-27	14.4	14.8	-0.38	16.3	16.3	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAC 67, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
WAS 102, MIA 129	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%