NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	3.3 [1118]		MVP	Chucky Brown (SAS): +8.5%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	1.1 [1236]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -7.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Hughes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	17	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	0.06	17	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	20	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	11	73%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	19	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	8	32%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	53%	-0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	14	50%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.4	28.4	16.4	23.5	1.8	23.4	116.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.8%

DAL -6.2%

SAS +18.5%

SAS +0.3%

SAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.2	91.8	110.4	101.7
season	14.8	15.5		104.2	101.6
opponent	15.4	14.8		95.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.3	14.2	15.3	14.3	14.8
SAS	16.0	15.2	12.8	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	11.0	15.1	-4.10	12.6	15.1	-2.54
Rick Hughes	22	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-24	32	13.0	15.3	-2.22	15.6	14.7	0.89
Sean Rooks	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-7	-2	15.8	14.4	1.39	13.0	15.5	-2.59
Hubert Davis	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-9	2	14.7	14.9	-0.19	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Shawn Bradley	86	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-2	-12	15.0	12.7	2.30	15.3	11.7	3.61
Michael Finley	80	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	0	-16	15.6	11.1	4.48	15.1	14.4	0.66
Erick Strickland	80	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-9	2	13.7	19.4	-5.66	15.5	12.6	2.85
Dirk Nowitzki	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	-1	-14	14.4	15.7	-1.36	15.1	14.5	0.55
Robert Pack	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	6	-28	16.1	13.2	2.81	14.4	15.5	-1.10

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	78	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.11	20	-4	24	14.5	16.7	-2.21	16.1	9.2	6.96
David Robinson	52	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-6	28	14.4	15.5	-1.10	16.1	13.2	2.81
Avery Johnson	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	-4	24	14.2	15.8	-1.64	16.6	12.7	3.86
Mario Elie	51	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-7	30	13.6	16.4	-2.77	15.6	13.8	1.81
Chucky Brown	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	0	16	14.2	15.6	-1.32	16.3	13.5	2.82
Jaren Jackson	46	48	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	12	-8	15.5	14.4	1.18	13.8	15.7	-1.83
Jerome Kersey	40	42	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	23	-30	16.5	13.8	2.70	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Malik Rose	26	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	18	-20	16.3	14.4	1.84	11.8	15.9	-4.12
Samaki Walker	36	36	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	24	-32	15.6	14.5	1.05	12.2	16.3	-4.06
Antonio Daniels	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	22	-28	15.4	14.7	0.63	12.7	15.7	-3.05
Terry Porter	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	16	-16	18.0	14.3	3.69	13.6	15.0	-1.44
Steve Kerr	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	12.6	15.1	-2.54	11.0	15.1	-4.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
BKN 104, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 102, MIA 129	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%