inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 69 Excitement3.0 [1173] MVPMalik Rose (SAS): +1.5%
San Antonio Spurs 84 Comeback1.1 [1246] LVPEddie Jones (MIA): -7.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.04480%-0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04650%0.013-0.0100%0.00
Sean Marks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02650%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Mike James-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04729%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Eddie House-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01357%-0.023-0.021100%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02935%-0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Brian Grant-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Sean Lampley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.001050%-0.052-0.00250%0.00
Malik Allen-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.03650%0.024-0.0800%0.00
Travis Best-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00425%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.080,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.021443%-0.014-0.072100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.01-0.061447%0.073-0.062100%0.01
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.03638%0.0000.001100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.02750%0.011-0.00475%-0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.001050%0.011-0.0220%-0.03
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.051150%-0.001-0.011258%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.0740%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.02483%0.003-0.02450%-0.02
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00853%0.032-0.051100%0.01
David Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.031100%0.024-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.628.815.826.22.326.5127.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +31.8%
SAS +9.4%
SAS +2.0%
SAS +4.6%
SAS +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASASNBAMIASASNBA
this game16.116.215.578.493.3101.6
season16.315.794.6102.5
opponent15.415.996.9100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.417.917.014.216.1
SAS15.915.713.020.816.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis2021-0.01-0.490.47-0.258-233114.116.7-2.5719.215.33.93
Sean Lampley4245-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-161714.717.4-2.6716.915.51.42
Eddie House2627-0.17-0.330.17-0.232-171917.515.51.9916.915.91.01
Travis Best3334-0.19-0.310.120.01-7-8116.615.90.7016.416.10.30
Malik Allen3840-0.19-0.310.110.07-9-6-316.316.00.2217.115.51.53
Vladimir Stepania3030-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-2-1118.215.13.1814.017.3-3.38
Sean Marks4344-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-11715.316.9-1.5415.716.7-0.97
Brian Grant4545-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-3-916.316.00.2716.016.4-0.36
Mike James4446-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-172-1916.515.70.7715.217.2-2.01
Eddie Jones4948-0.32-0.18-0.130.03-12-3-916.815.31.4415.716.8-1.15
Rasual Butler7070-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-12-3-915.618.4-2.8316.415.50.86

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen59580.440.060.38-0.1119-42315.018.5-3.5516.315.90.41
Tim Duncan66640.400.100.30-0.1017-21915.518.2-2.7716.315.70.53
Stephen Jackson47490.390.110.27-0.1117-21915.117.4-2.2516.815.41.40
Tony Parker51510.320.180.14-0.091411315.217.5-2.2816.116.2-0.09
Malik Rose45430.310.190.13-0.1817-21915.317.1-1.8215.816.5-0.68
Manu Ginobili50470.290.210.09-0.2418-32115.117.6-2.5716.515.80.71
David Robinson39400.280.220.06-0.07123915.616.7-1.0317.714.92.82
Steve Kerr25240.170.33-0.170.28-419-2317.415.81.6917.515.61.93
Speedy Claxton35320.060.44-0.380.27-722-2918.414.83.6115.516.5-0.95
Steven Smith21200.010.49-0.490.21-722-2920.814.85.9814.116.7-2.57
Kevin Willis17170.000.50-0.490.18-621-2720.015.34.6614.016.6-2.65
Danny Ferry13120.000.50-0.500.29-1025-3519.915.64.3314.516.4-1.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 80, LAC 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
NYK 89, ATL 1180.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
MIN 72, UTA 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%