inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 99 Excitement4.0 [996] MVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): +9.5%
Orlando Magic 120 Comeback1.3 [1038] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -4.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ricky Davis0.060,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.010.011661%0.112-0.066100%0.02
Smush Parker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0.000,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.000.041556%0.073-0.06667%-0.02
Dorell Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexander Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01750%0.012-0.022100%0.01
Jason Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01530%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.07-0.030.092160%0.064-0.101173%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.210.010.131671%0.0900.00667%-0.03
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01490%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.020.07777%0.091-0.038100%0.02
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.02771%0.092-0.051050%-0.03
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.03743%0.0300.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.01-0.081846%0.104-0.075100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01370%0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.00-0.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01860%0.063-0.07450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.432.916.730.32.534.3142.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +41.7%
MIA -2.8%
ORL +2.2%
ORL +6.8%
ORL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game15.115.715.4105.3129.0105.7
season16.015.199.0109.9
opponent15.615.4104.6108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.915.414.416.015.1
ORL15.114.614.419.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anfernee Hardaway18180.05-0.550.600.050-212114.315.3-0.9817.615.22.33
Chris Quinn540.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.615.2-1.6120.015.54.52
Alexander Johnson540.00-0.500.500.12-4-171313.615.2-1.6120.015.54.52
Mark Blount1816-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-191714.015.4-1.3916.915.41.45
Smush Parker5352-0.11-0.390.270.09-7-14714.715.7-0.9816.714.42.35
Shaquille O'Neal5857-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-161115.614.41.1516.714.02.74
Alonzo Mourning2729-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-13514.315.4-1.1113.916.5-2.59
Jason Williams5858-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.06-14-7-715.714.21.5114.817.1-2.35
Dwyane Wade8079-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.02-16-5-1115.115.3-0.1915.118.9-3.74
Udonis Haslem6667-0.520.02-0.550.15-232-2515.514.31.1515.017.5-2.48
Ricky Davis8281-0.560.06-0.610.03-20-1-1915.313.91.3915.616.3-0.75

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jameer Nelson61610.490.010.47-0.2826-53115.116.7-1.5915.314.80.48
Keith Bogans54540.450.050.41-0.021651114.117.8-3.6915.314.90.44
Rashard Lewis75750.450.050.40-0.142011915.118.0-2.8815.314.31.08
Dwight Howard76760.430.070.36-0.101831514.919.3-4.4315.015.6-0.53
Maurice Evans23240.220.28-0.050.11417-1314.716.0-1.2514.515.4-0.90
Hedo Turkoglu71720.190.31-0.11-0.101011-116.413.52.8515.314.50.76
Brian Cook17170.140.36-0.23-0.10813-516.615.51.1114.415.3-0.95
Keyon Dooling41420.120.38-0.26-0.08714-717.414.33.0614.715.5-0.75
Adonal Foyle17180.070.43-0.36-0.02318-1519.314.94.4315.615.00.53
Carlos Arroyo3031-0.060.56-0.630.14-728-3517.214.92.3015.015.2-0.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 91, MIA 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
LAL 93, OKC 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
SAS 83, BOS 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%