NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	3.5 [1132]		MVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): +6.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.1 [1223]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -15.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.08	5	87%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	17	41%	-0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.04	17	51%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	78%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	16	61%	0.05	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	17	25%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	22.7	15.6	27.2	2.3	28.6	123.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.4%

LAC +1.3%

LAC +3.7%

LAC +6.4%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	17.6	13.5	15.5	91.4	102.2	104.0
season	16.7	16.0		102.3	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.7	18.6	16.6	16.7	17.6
LAC	11.8	14.1	12.7	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Curtis Borchardt	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-11	13	14.0	17.9	-3.94	13.9	13.4	0.45
Jarron Collins	38	41	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.32	11	-20	31	15.7	19.0	-3.23	14.5	12.6	1.93
Howard Eisley	52	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.44	10	-19	29	16.7	18.9	-2.20	14.2	12.5	1.66
Randy Livingston	45	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-7	5	18.6	16.8	1.76	13.8	13.2	0.61
Ben Handlogten	37	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	1	-11	19.2	16.6	2.56	13.5	13.4	0.10
Gordan Giricek	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-9	9	16.8	19.5	-2.65	13.9	12.2	1.74
Kris Humphries	42	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	1	-11	17.9	17.5	0.43	13.1	13.8	-0.68
Keith McLeod	53	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	5	-19	17.8	17.5	0.25	12.7	14.4	-1.74
Mehmet Okur	69	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	0	-9	17.7	17.4	0.31	13.0	14.7	-1.67
Matt Harpring	57	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.18	-23	14	-37	19.1	15.4	3.68	12.6	14.7	-2.11

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	68	69	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.22	30	-21	51	12.7	15.5	-2.81	18.8	14.4	4.41
Shaun Livingston	68	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.05	20	-11	31	12.8	15.3	-2.47	18.1	16.2	1.94
Marko Jaric	77	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-7	23	12.8	17.0	-4.22	18.1	15.1	3.07
Bobby Simmons	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	4	1	13.1	14.3	-1.22	17.8	17.3	0.47
Chris Kaman	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	8	-7	13.8	12.7	1.09	17.5	17.9	-0.45
Mikki Moore	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.38	-12	21	-33	14.4	12.9	1.44	14.9	19.0	-4.16
Lionel Chalmers	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	5.7	13.7	-8.06	7.0	17.9	-10.88
Chris Wilcox	22	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	13.3	13.5	-0.20	18.3	17.4	0.92
Quinton Ross	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	11	-13	15.2	12.5	2.69	17.1	17.9	-0.84
Rick Brunson	30	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.17	-10	19	-29	16.4	12.1	4.30	16.3	18.3	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 74, NOP 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SEA 83, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIN 92, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%