NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	67		Excitement	4.3 [944]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +5.5%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	1.0 [1244]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -18.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	16	54%	0.05	2	-0.01	9	67%	-0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	13	52%	0.04	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	66%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	15	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	79%	0.07	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	14	39%	0.02	5	-0.13	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.5	25.5	16.3	23.3	2.5	32.6	123.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +24.6%

NYK +2.4%

NYK +8.9%

NYK +15.4%

CHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	18.4	14.4	15.2	77.0	87.6	101.7
season	16.5	16.1		91.8	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.9		98.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	21.1	17.1	19.5	16.0	18.4
NYK	12.5	14.2	14.8	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	10	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-12	13	14.5	18.9	-4.40	12.7	14.6	-1.89
Corey Benjamin	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-12	13	17.5	18.5	-0.97	13.0	14.6	-1.58
Matt Maloney	63	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-14	17	18.2	19.0	-0.84	15.2	12.5	2.71
Hersey Hawkins	64	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	18.6	17.8	0.83	15.6	11.1	4.52
Chris Anstey	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-7	3	18.9	17.7	1.15	15.7	12.6	3.05
Dickey Simpkins	37	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	19.1	17.9	1.20	13.0	15.5	-2.46
Metta World Peace	58	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	19.2	16.7	2.55	14.5	14.2	0.32
Chris Carr	41	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	17.1	19.6	-2.49	12.7	15.9	-3.17
B.J. Armstrong	24	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	3	-17	19.0	18.2	0.84	12.5	15.2	-2.71
Elton Brand	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	1	-13	18.2	19.5	-1.25	14.4	14.0	0.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	75	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-5	21	14.1	16.1	-2.00	18.3	19.0	-0.73
Larry Johnson	65	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-4	19	14.9	13.0	1.89	18.2	18.8	-0.61
Kurt Thomas	32	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	7	-3	13.2	15.1	-1.91	18.9	18.1	0.80
Chris Childs	48	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	5	1	14.7	14.0	0.71	17.7	19.1	-1.36
Marcus Camby	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	8	-5	14.5	14.3	0.23	18.0	18.8	-0.85
Patrick Ewing	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	14.5	14.1	0.48	18.2	18.8	-0.60
Allan Houston	65	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	12	-13	14.4	14.3	0.12	18.7	17.5	1.24
John Wallace	13	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	15.4	14.2	1.17	19.4	18.2	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NOP 77, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%