NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	89		Excitement	4.9 [803]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): +5.0%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.0 [125]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -11.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	85%	0.06	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dan Schayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Harper	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rony Seikaly	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	18	59%	0.01	5	-0.13	13	69%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	20	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	21	51%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	10	68%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	2	25%	-0.04	5	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.3	28.6	14.6	29.4	2.3	28.3	126.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.9%

GSW +8.5%

GSW +9.4%

ORL -13.5%

GSW +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.6	92.7	109.5	102.5
season	16.7	15.6		100.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.6		102.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.9	14.1	14.8	15.9	15.4
GSW	14.4	15.3	13.4	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-16	17	12.5	16.8	-4.25	15.7	14.3	1.31
Johnny Taylor	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-13	11	14.8	15.5	-0.72	14.9	14.8	0.19
Derek Harper	32	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-13	11	13.3	16.4	-3.08	16.5	13.9	2.60
Derek Strong	25	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-9	3	17.8	14.5	3.29	15.1	14.7	0.45
Darrell Armstrong	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-11	7	14.5	16.2	-1.69	15.5	14.1	1.44
Nick Anderson	43	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-12	9	14.9	15.8	-0.91	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Dan Schayes	24	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-8	1	14.6	15.6	-1.04	15.2	14.7	0.51
Bo Outlaw	65	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-3	-9	16.2	13.5	2.68	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Mark Price	41	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-2	-11	17.1	14.0	3.11	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Gerald Wilkins	66	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	15.6	14.8	0.77	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Rony Seikaly	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	0	-15	15.8	11.2	4.65	14.7	15.6	-0.85

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	57	59	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.16	26	-11	37	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.5	15.1	0.37
Bimbo Coles	62	63	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-7	29	15.2	14.1	1.07	16.3	13.5	2.77
Donyell Marshall	76	78	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	1	13	14.6	15.4	-0.72	14.6	18.6	-3.93
Brian Shaw	76	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	4	7	14.5	16.1	-1.58	15.0	16.9	-1.97
Felton Spencer	38	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	12	-9	14.4	15.0	-0.61	15.5	15.3	0.19
Erick Dampier	47	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	6	3	15.2	14.4	0.84	15.5	15.2	0.33
Muggsy Bogues	44	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	16	-17	15.0	14.6	0.48	14.2	16.4	-2.11
Todd Fuller	10	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	12	-9	14.2	14.9	-0.66	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Duane Ferrell	19	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	14	-13	15.4	14.6	0.72	18.6	14.6	3.93
Tony Delk	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	17	-19	13.5	14.9	-1.41	18.3	15.1	3.15
David Vaughn	38	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.22	-11	26	-37	14.5	15.0	-0.48	15.1	15.5	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIA 79, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 67, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%