NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	6.0 [646]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (MIA): +19.2%
Miami Heat	102		Comeback	1.5 [959]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.08	0.04	3	125%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	18	64%	0.17	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	0.05	14	36%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	23	47%	-0.10	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	11	65%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	0.02	19	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	33%	-0.08
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	0.08	9	61%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	15	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	16	61%	0.06	5	-0.13	12	92%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	4.4	30.1	19.7	27.5	3.4	32.5	146.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +35.1%

MIA +4.0%

MIA +4.3%

MIA +7.4%

LAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIA	NBA	LAL	MIA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	15.5	93.7	108.5	104.0
season	15.7	15.7		105.8	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		101.1	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	14.7	15.1	15.8	14.9
MIA	14.0	17.4	16.2	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	30	32	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.14	8	-21	29	13.5	15.6	-2.15	16.2	15.2	1.07
Caron Butler	71	73	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-18	23	15.0	14.8	0.19	15.9	14.1	1.80
Brian Grant	36	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-3	-7	16.2	14.2	2.02	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Luke Walton	5	4	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-6	-1	16.4	14.9	1.54	12.5	15.7	-3.18
Chucky Atkins	82	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-10	7	14.4	18.2	-3.82	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Lamar Odom	84	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-6	-1	14.8	16.2	-1.41	15.7	14.6	1.03
Brian Cook	19	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-8	3	13.6	15.3	-1.70	13.6	16.1	-2.47
Tierre Brown	13	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	18.2	14.4	3.82	16.5	15.4	1.10
Kobe Bryant	90	90	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-7	1	14.9	16.4	-1.54	15.7	12.5	3.18
Slava Medvedenko	16	14	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	16.3	14.7	1.65	16.6	15.4	1.21
Jumaine Jones	29	26	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.04	-18	5	-23	15.4	14.7	0.64	14.2	16.1	-1.92

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	39	40	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	0	13	16.2	15.1	1.04	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Shandon Anderson	32	34	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	16.3	15.1	1.17	15.7	14.5	1.20
Dwyane Wade	82	82	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.05	13	0	13	15.2	17.9	-2.72	15.1	13.8	1.35
Udonis Haslem	73	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	7	-1	15.5	15.7	-0.22	15.2	14.2	1.05
Michael Doleac	12	13	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	3	7	16.5	15.4	1.10	18.2	14.4	3.82
Eddie Jones	82	82	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	10	-7	15.4	16.5	-1.10	14.4	18.2	-3.82
Shaquille O'Neal	75	75	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	13	-13	15.4	16.1	-0.71	14.3	17.4	-3.18
Christian Laettner	20	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	6	1	16.4	15.3	1.15	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Damon Jones	55	55	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	13	-13	15.1	16.2	-1.04	15.0	14.9	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 73, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
LAC 80, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
DEN 78, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%