NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	73		Excitement	5.3 [737]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +6.1%
Toronto Raptors	83		Comeback	1.4 [880]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -22.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donnell Harvey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	17	39%	-0.02	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	8	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	9	41%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	81%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	17	56%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	52%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	17	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	2	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.22	-0.03	-0.03	9	25%	-0.11	5	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.2	26.4	15.7	22.2	2.7	32.0	123.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.1%

TOR +10.1%

PHX -7.7%

TOR +9.0%

TOR +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	18.4	15.7	82.0	93.3	100.5
season	14.6	16.8		99.6	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.9		98.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	13.2	14.7	13.5	14.0
TOR	16.8	19.5	18.0	19.3	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-12	14	13.4	14.1	-0.72	19.7	18.1	1.67
Donnell Harvey	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-8	6	15.8	13.1	2.71	16.8	19.1	-2.32
Jake Voskuhl	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-8	6	14.0	13.8	0.20	18.6	18.0	0.61
Jahidi White	23	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-7	4	13.3	14.2	-0.83	18.8	18.2	0.59
Casey Jacobsen	30	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	13.6	14.1	-0.50	19.3	18.0	1.35
Anfernee Hardaway	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	5	-20	13.4	14.9	-1.47	17.8	19.3	-1.52
Shawn Marion	85	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-5	0	13.8	17.5	-3.70	18.3	20.0	-1.68
Stephon Marbury	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	14.0	13.8	0.23	18.4	18.4	-0.03
Joe Johnson	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	14.2	12.8	1.49	18.5	17.8	0.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-3	16	18.2	19.2	-0.97	14.3	12.0	2.33
Chris Bosh	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	17.7	19.8	-2.12	14.6	12.7	1.88
Michael Curry	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	4	2	19.7	16.5	3.17	13.3	14.9	-1.64
Morris Peterson	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	3	4	19.5	17.4	2.10	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Alvin Williams	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	4	2	18.1	19.5	-1.37	14.1	13.5	0.63
Vince Carter	77	75	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	5	0	18.0	20.7	-2.72	14.1	13.2	0.89
Donyell Marshall	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	7	-4	18.0	19.6	-1.60	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Milt Palacio	5	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	11	-12	21.2	18.2	2.97	9.0	14.3	-5.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
HOU 117, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
MIN 90, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%