NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	6.1 [555]		MVP	Danny Manning (PHX): +5.4%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.1 [1227]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -18.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Riley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.01
A.C. Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.04	0.02	13	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
Chris Anstey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	17	51%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Bubba Wells	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	48%	-0.04	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05
Khalid Reeves	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.18	-0.03	-0.04	12	22%	-0.10	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Michael Finley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.05	0.04	18	48%	-0.07	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	65%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	16	46%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	16	59%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	15	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	25.5	15.6	23.2	2.3	24.3	116.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.5%

DAL -8.4%

PHX +3.6%

PHX +12.4%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.6	93.8	105.3	102.5
season	15.8	15.0		98.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	15.4	17.1	15.5	15.9
PHX	12.4	14.0	14.2	16.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Riley	10	9	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-14	18	13.8	16.2	-2.37	15.7	14.1	1.60
Martin Muursepp	2	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	28.5	15.7	12.84	11.0	14.3	-3.26
Cedric Ceballos	33	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-5	0	15.8	16.0	-0.21	12.7	15.0	-2.24
Bubba Wells	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-11	12	15.7	16.0	-0.35	14.3	14.2	0.11
Khalid Reeves	55	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-7	4	16.5	15.1	1.41	15.4	12.4	2.96
Shawn Bradley	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	16.2	15.7	0.55	14.4	14.0	0.42
A.C. Green	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-5	0	16.1	15.4	0.69	14.4	13.8	0.67
Chris Anstey	71	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	2	-14	15.8	16.2	-0.31	13.7	15.5	-1.76
Michael Finley	89	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	1	-12	15.8	17.4	-1.62	14.3	13.1	1.20
Hubert Davis	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	-2	-6	15.5	17.7	-2.24	13.8	15.9	-2.09

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	50	50	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-5	20	14.6	13.8	0.88	17.5	14.3	3.20
Rex Chapman	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-3	16	13.8	16.2	-2.44	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Jason Kidd	87	88	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	14.3	13.6	0.65	15.8	17.6	-1.85
Kevin Johnson	43	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	3	4	15.3	13.3	1.98	16.6	15.4	1.23
Antonio McDyess	77	80	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	8	-6	14.6	12.7	1.92	15.4	18.6	-3.24
Clifford Robinson	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	3	4	13.2	14.9	-1.73	16.2	15.8	0.38
Dennis Scott	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	7	-4	13.7	14.4	-0.67	17.0	15.6	1.42
Hot Rod Williams	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	7	-4	13.2	15.0	-1.85	14.6	17.0	-2.41
George McCloud	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	13	-16	14.8	13.8	1.07	15.8	16.0	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 75, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
OKC 94, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%