NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	5.0 [841]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): +16.8%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	1.1 [1168]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -13.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Diante Garrett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	14	47%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	11	59%	0.02	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.07
Derrick Favors	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	12	41%	-0.02	4	-0.12	5	40%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.01	0.04	14	81%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	19	55%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	8	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	15	47%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.5	24.5	15.4	25.3	2.5	23.7	117.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +32.8%

WAS +5.9%

WAS +3.1%

WAS +7.7%

WAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.1	101.1	114.3	105.2
season	16.2	15.1		102.1	103.8
opponent	15.5	14.8		102.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.7	16.0	14.8	16.4	16.4
WAS	13.4	16.0	15.2	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Diante Garrett	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-13	13	17.0	16.2	0.75	16.0	15.2	0.81
Enes Kanter	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-7	1	15.9	17.0	-1.04	13.8	17.0	-3.17
Jeremy Evans	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-10	7	15.3	17.8	-2.56	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Marvin Williams	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-7	1	18.0	15.3	2.71	15.9	15.0	0.83
Richard Jefferson	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-5	-3	17.4	15.6	1.78	15.2	15.6	-0.34
Trey Burke	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	0	-13	16.2	17.0	-0.75	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Gordon Hayward	68	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	17.2	14.0	3.16	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Alec Burks	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-6	-1	15.1	21.0	-5.94	15.7	14.4	1.30
Derrick Favors	46	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-2	-9	16.9	16.0	0.94	16.6	14.0	2.60

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-1	15	15.5	15.2	0.28	16.6	16.1	0.45
Bradley Beal	61	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	0	13	16.4	13.3	3.13	18.4	12.1	6.23
Trevor Ariza	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	4	5	15.0	16.6	-1.61	16.1	17.5	-1.42
Al Harrington	38	37	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	4	5	17.0	14.2	2.75	16.9	16.1	0.82
Marcin Gortat	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	5	3	14.6	16.6	-1.97	16.2	16.7	-0.49
Drew Gooden	36	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	8	-3	16.6	14.6	1.97	16.7	16.2	0.49
Trevor Booker	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	7	-1	15.2	15.5	-0.24	18.2	15.5	2.65
Otto Porter	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	12	-11	14.6	16.2	-1.60	15.0	17.7	-2.66
Garrett Temple	9	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	10	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.07	10.2	17.0	-6.79
Andre Miller	26	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	14	-15	15.2	15.5	-0.34	16.6	16.4	0.20
Chris Singleton	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	15	-17	13.0	16.2	-3.26	13.3	17.5	-4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 75, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAC 82, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%