NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	77		Excitement	4.7 [849]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (IND): +16.5%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.2 [1217]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -13.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	13	55%	0.01	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Oliver Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	69%	0.03	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Zan Tabak	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	14	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	7	62%	0.00	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	4	111%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	19	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.08	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	7	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.05
Derrick McKey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	24.3	15.4	22.7	2.4	27.7	118.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.4%

TOR -13.4%

IND +5.9%

IND +10.8%

IND +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.6	86.5	101.1	102.5
season	15.5	16.0		98.7	105.3
opponent	16.1	14.8		99.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.9	18.5	16.5	15.8	17.1
IND	15.7	14.9	17.0	14.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	10.4	17.5	-7.15	11.2	15.6	-4.33
Chris Garner	13	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-10	8	13.7	17.7	-4.04	12.2	15.8	-3.66
Reggie Slater	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-3	-6	18.2	15.8	2.35	16.0	14.7	1.30
Zan Tabak	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	17.7	16.3	1.41	15.5	15.2	0.31
John Wallace	53	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-7	2	15.4	19.7	-4.37	14.8	16.2	-1.46
Shawn Respert	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	16.1	18.8	-2.73	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Oliver Miller	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	18.1	13.7	4.38	15.7	14.2	1.54
Doug Christie	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	17.6	14.9	2.69	15.5	14.6	0.88
Damon Stoudamire	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	17.7	13.7	4.04	15.8	12.2	3.66

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	61	60	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.02	21	-9	30	15.5	15.1	0.40	18.7	14.0	4.72
Antonio Davis	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	-3	18	14.9	16.2	-1.29	16.4	18.4	-1.95
Travis Best	47	47	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-2	16	14.3	16.6	-2.24	17.2	17.1	0.10
Jalen Rose	50	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	14.0	17.2	-3.12	16.3	18.4	-2.06
Fred Hoiberg	43	43	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-1	14	14.0	16.7	-2.67	17.3	17.0	0.21
Chris Mullin	33	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	11	-10	17.0	14.4	2.53	19.0	16.1	2.85
Reggie Miller	45	46	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	13	-14	16.7	14.0	2.67	17.0	17.3	-0.21
Mark Jackson	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	14	-16	16.6	14.3	2.24	17.1	17.2	-0.10
Derrick McKey	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	13	-14	16.2	14.7	1.50	18.5	16.1	2.36
Etdrick Bohannon	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	10.7	15.6	-4.89	8.7	17.4	-8.78
Austin Croshere	25	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	21	-30	16.0	15.1	0.91	13.8	18.6	-4.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAC 82, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 102, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.1%