NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	75		Excitement	5.3 [767]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +14.7%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.2 [1142]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -15.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.02	20	57%	0.15	1	-0.00	11	64%	-0.02
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	19	32%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	10	19%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	17	34%	-0.08	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	11	73%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	0.01	0.09	12	80%	0.12	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	63%	0.14	8	-0.18	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	14	44%	-0.04	5	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	24.6	16.5	27.6	2.3	26.6	122.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +59.8%

IND +5.5%

IND +6.7%

LAC -28.3%

IND +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.6	80.6	105.4	104.4
season	15.2	16.0		103.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.8	16.2	13.9	14.9
IND	14.8	17.8	14.4	18.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boniface N'Dong	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	15.7	14.9	0.74	16.7	16.2	0.58
Yaroslav Korolev	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	15.7	14.9	0.74	16.7	16.2	0.58
Chris Wilcox	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-23	24	14.5	15.1	-0.55	15.9	16.3	-0.38
James Singleton	14	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-16	10	17.0	14.6	2.42	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Walter McCarty	14	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-17	12	16.7	14.6	2.08	17.5	16.0	1.56
Daniel Ewing	47	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-18	14	14.6	15.3	-0.79	17.3	15.2	2.15
Chris Kaman	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-7	-8	14.5	16.5	-2.04	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Sam Cassell	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-5	-12	14.8	15.3	-0.51	15.4	17.8	-2.43
Cuttino Mobley	85	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-8	-6	14.4	20.9	-6.49	16.3	14.9	1.45
Shaun Livingston	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	-2	-18	15.3	13.4	1.86	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Elton Brand	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.16	-24	2	-26	15.4	13.2	2.25	16.1	16.5	-0.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	72	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.11	26	-4	30	16.0	17.0	-1.03	15.4	13.3	2.03
Stephen Jackson	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	2	18	15.9	17.8	-1.96	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Jamaal Tinsley	65	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	4	14	15.8	17.1	-1.24	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Danny Granger	57	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	7	8	17.0	14.9	2.16	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Sarunas Jasikevicius	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	12	-2	14.9	17.4	-2.51	15.1	14.8	0.32
Fred Jones	42	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.21	13	9	4	17.4	15.2	2.27	14.4	15.4	-1.02
Anthony Johnson	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	19	-16	17.1	15.7	1.42	15.3	14.8	0.51
Austin Croshere	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	18	-14	15.3	16.6	-1.33	15.7	14.6	1.07
Eddie Gill	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	16.7	16.2	0.58	15.7	14.9	0.74
David Harrison	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	16.7	16.2	0.58	15.7	14.9	0.74
Jeff Foster	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	27	-32	16.6	15.9	0.73	14.3	15.4	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DAL 90, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
CHA 91, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1,1	95.0%