NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	93		Excitement	8.5 [155]		MVP	Terry Dehere (SAC): +12.3%
Sacramento Kings	88		Comeback	4.7 [99]		LVP	Jim Jackson (GSW): -44.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	6	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Erick Dampier	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	13	55%	0.06	0	0.00	14	71%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	7	53%	0.00	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.10	-0.05	21	44%	-0.11	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.24	-0.05	-0.20	-0.01	9	35%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Todd Fuller	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.27	-0.04	-0.23	0.00	1	33%	-0.27	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.12
Jim Jackson	-0.45	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.41,-0.35,-0.45	-0.18	-0.30	-0.03	24	34%	-0.32	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	4	112%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	22	54%	0.06	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.10
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	1	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.09
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.06	-0.06	10	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	5	14%	-0.18	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.10
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.23	-0.23	0.01	-0.18	0.05	18	54%	-0.15	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	24.1	15.3	28.6	2.5	34.8	129.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -63.3%

GSW +32.6%

GSW +83.8%

SAC -3.4%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	17.1	15.0	15.6	103.3	98.9	102.5
season	15.6	15.2		92.9	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.9	15.8	18.0	18.8	17.1
SAC	14.8	17.7	13.9	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	66	65	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-1	7	16.2	19.7	-3.57	15.6	13.4	2.21
Jim Jackson	85	83	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.39	1	4	-3	17.6	8.8	8.82	14.8	18.2	-3.36
Donyell Marshall	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	4	-3	16.7	19.4	-2.72	14.4	18.1	-3.65
Clar. Weatherspoon	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-9	23	16.7	18.1	-1.38	16.4	11.8	4.56
Todd Fuller	12	11	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	3	-1	18.6	16.9	1.67	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Jason Caffey	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	10	-15	18.6	15.9	2.67	14.1	15.8	-1.74
Felton Spencer	12	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	1	3	14.4	17.6	-3.13	16.2	14.8	1.41
Tony Delk	31	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	0	5	16.7	17.4	-0.65	13.9	15.7	-1.81
Erick Dampier	64	64	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	8	-11	17.9	15.2	2.68	15.3	14.3	1.05

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	27	27	0.58	-1.08	1.66	0.02	19	-24	43	12.6	16.1	-3.50	19.9	16.0	3.88
Terry Dehere	31	33	0.47	-0.97	1.44	-0.00	16	-21	37	13.4	15.9	-2.58	18.8	16.2	2.61
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	3	-11	18.5	14.5	4.01	13.5	17.6	-4.09
Lawrence Funderburke	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	2	-9	17.7	14.4	3.37	15.9	17.5	-1.50
Billy Owens	78	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-8	11	14.5	18.5	-4.01	17.6	13.5	4.09
Mitch Richmond	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.45	3	-8	11	14.8	17.7	-2.98	17.6	12.1	5.50
Corliss Williamson	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.0	0.04	17.3	15.4	1.95
Otis Thorpe	38	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	8	-21	15.9	14.4	1.59	14.9	18.9	-3.97
Michael Stewart	24	23	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.36	-11	6	-17	16.3	14.6	1.78	17.8	16.9	0.87
Anthony Johnson	56	56	-1.03	0.53	-1.56	-0.35	-23	18	-41	15.5	14.3	1.21	15.5	19.8	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.79,0.65,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 104, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.27,0	92.5%
MIL 107, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.08,0	90.9%
PHX 107, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.73,0.39,0.71,0.33,0.26,0	90.1%