inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 107 Excitement8.2 [174] MVPSteve Nash (PHX): +40.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 105 Comeback2.9 [171] LVPLarry Sanders (MIL): -15.1%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0.400,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.13,0.13,0.40.040.35-0.021369%0.514-0.1100%0.00
Jared Dudley0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.380.190.190.01995%0.3800.002100%0.04
Marcin Gortat0.160,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.160.070.110.021272%0.254-0.095100%0.02
Michael Redd-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.011450%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Ronnie Price-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Channing Frye-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.080.04-0.14-0.021258%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Josh Childress-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Grant Hill-0.100,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.10.05-0.130.021252%-0.1000.001100%0.00
Robin Lopez-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.070.00933%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.040.00714%-0.1200.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.170.060.017100%0.271-0.043100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.210.210.080.150.02965%0.231-0.028100%0.11
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.080.080.070.060.052157%0.132-0.04250%-0.01
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.01664%0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Carlos Delfino0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00658%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02464%0.021-0.023100%0.01
Tobias Harris00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.011150%0.042-0.082100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01650%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.04,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.01437%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Larry Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.080.01520%-0.101-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.827.015.522.42.427.3119.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +19.7%
MIL -18.3%
PHX +26.2%
PHX +10.5%
PHX +11.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXMILNBAPHXMILNBA
this game16.615.215.6118.9115.4102.8
season15.014.6104.7103.8
opponent15.615.7103.4104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX14.214.317.921.416.6
MIL14.615.714.915.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Dudley52541.05-0.551.610.5019-173615.118.7-3.6416.613.13.57
Grant Hill59621.04-0.541.580.5417-153215.419.1-3.7116.013.42.67
Channing Frye49521.03-0.531.560.5317-153215.218.4-3.2316.813.13.71
Steve Nash65670.92-0.421.350.5114-122616.118.0-1.8415.813.52.25
Marcin Gortat68700.92-0.421.340.6011-92015.819.2-3.3715.713.42.36
Ronnie Price66-0.060.56-0.620.06-46-1014.016.8-2.8211.815.4-3.60
Sebastian Telfair1918-0.360.86-1.23-0.13-810-1819.215.93.2714.115.5-1.35
Robin Lopez2221-0.420.92-1.34-0.16-911-2019.215.83.3713.415.7-2.36
Markieff Morris4139-0.531.03-1.56-0.09-1517-3218.415.23.2313.116.8-3.71
Josh Childress3129-0.541.04-1.58-0.10-1517-3219.115.43.7113.416.0-2.67
Michael Redd3837-0.551.05-1.61-0.05-1719-3618.715.13.6413.116.6-3.57

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih35350.22-0.720.94-0.0710-122214.015.9-1.9518.515.53.03
Larry Sanders27240.22-0.720.94-0.018-101813.016.1-3.1319.115.73.34
Tobias Harris440.04-0.540.570.011-3418.515.03.4512.516.8-4.33
Shaun Livingston2323-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-2216.014.91.1313.917.6-3.71
Jon Leuer1111-0.07-0.430.350.01-31-416.215.11.1213.417.1-3.72
Carlos Delfino3232-0.20-0.300.100.06-97-1615.714.90.8514.717.7-2.92
Stephen Jackson5554-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.516-81414.616.1-1.4218.114.53.56
Ersan Ilyasova6161-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.495-71215.015.7-0.7017.714.33.38
Brandon Jennings5554-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.14-108-1816.113.72.4015.019.1-4.04
Luc Mbah a Moute3130-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.18-97-1615.315.10.1915.217.4-2.20
Mike Dunleavy6867-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.42-20-214.916.0-1.1317.613.93.71
Drew Gooden5355-0.650.15-0.79-0.44-75-1216.113.92.1916.217.3-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.73,0.39,0.71,0.33,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 107, SAC 1010.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.08,091.4%
GSW 93, SAC 880.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.79,0.65,0.42,090.1%
BOS 121, CHA 1140.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.02,089.9%