NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	121		Excitement	7.1 [444]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +32.1%
Charlotte Hornets	114		Comeback	5.1 [283]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -7.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.32,0.32	0.10	0.19	-0.04	18	73%	0.42	6	-0.10	8	87%	0.08
Avery Bradley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.01	14	54%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	8	85%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.02	23	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.05
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	5	86%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	19	51%	0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.07
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.03	5	54%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	6	36%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	7	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.1	14.7	24.0	1.8	36.3	128.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +59.6%

CHA -16.4%

BOS +4.3%

BOS +0.7%

BOS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	14.8	122.2	116.3	107.7
season	14.7	15.1		110.1	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	15.3	14.9	16.0	14.9
CHA	15.2	14.7	12.2	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	75	75	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-4	15	14.1	17.4	-3.25	13.6	16.8	-3.21
Marcus Smart	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-5	17	15.8	13.0	2.82	14.8	13.3	1.51
Kelly Olynyk	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-1	9	14.4	15.7	-1.38	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Al Horford	72	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	3	1	14.8	15.1	-0.28	14.0	15.2	-1.29
Avery Bradley	73	72	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	4	-1	14.3	16.7	-2.42	13.9	15.5	-1.54
Jonas Jerebko	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-1	9	16.2	14.4	1.84	15.1	14.0	1.05
Jae Crowder	70	67	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	12	-17	14.5	15.9	-1.45	14.4	14.1	0.29
Tyler Zeller	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	13.8	15.1	-1.31	16.5	13.8	2.66
Jaylen Brown	32	31	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.15	-4	11	-15	17.8	13.5	4.29	15.7	13.7	2.07

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	19	20	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.18	5	-12	17	15.8	14.0	1.81	18.4	14.0	4.44
Brian Roberts	21	23	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.21	-1	-6	5	16.6	13.7	2.92	16.2	14.5	1.70
Frank Kaminsky	49	49	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.19	-4	-3	-1	16.3	12.3	3.96	16.4	13.4	2.97
Jeremy Lamb	46	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.19	-9	2	-11	15.6	13.2	2.38	16.2	13.8	2.40
Treveon Graham	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-3	-1	18.3	13.8	4.45	15.5	14.8	0.67
Nicolas Batum	86	86	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-9	11	13.7	19.2	-5.52	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Cody Zeller	66	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	-4	1	13.0	17.1	-4.11	14.2	16.3	-2.12
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	53	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.52	-3	-4	1	13.5	15.3	-1.78	13.7	16.3	-2.53
Kemba Walker	77	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.50	-6	-1	-5	13.7	16.6	-2.92	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Marvin Williams	62	62	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.47	-12	5	-17	13.7	15.3	-1.59	13.3	17.6	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.54,0.46,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	90.5%
PHX 107, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.73,0.39,0.71,0.33,0.26,0	89.9%
HOU 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.23,0.16,0.01,0	89.6%