NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	104		Excitement	7.5 [300]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): +59.6%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	15.0 [62]		LVP	James Posey (NOH): -17.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.60	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.6	0.11	0.49	0.00	7	100%	0.66	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	9	80%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.07	0.10	-0.02	6	44%	0.23	4	-0.18	6	67%	0.05
Stephen Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	0.00	-0.09	0.01	11	50%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	9	50%	-0.00	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	0.08	-0.20	0.02	18	66%	-0.00	4	-0.13	8	100%	0.05

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.03	0.08	26	63%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.06
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.08	0.03	14	67%	0.20	3	-0.23	8	87%	0.02
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	16	39%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	6	36%	-0.11	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	34.1	15.7	22.4	2.6	36.3	138.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +37.1%

CHA +19.3%

CHA +6.3%

NOH -14.7%

CHA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOH	NBA	CHA	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.3	108.3	109.6	106.0
season	16.2	15.5		103.0	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.4		108.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	13.3	17.2	16.2	15.3
NOH	15.2	16.2	12.8	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	80	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	0	1	15.7	13.6	2.05	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Gerald Wallace	58	55	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-8	17	15.8	14.6	1.25	15.5	14.2	1.37
D.J. Augustin	35	36	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-12	25	15.8	15.1	0.69	15.9	14.4	1.57
Raymond Felton	68	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.66	-7	8	-15	15.2	15.5	-0.29	14.6	15.8	-1.15
Boris Diaw	85	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	4	-7	15.8	12.1	3.66	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Nazr Mohammed	20	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	-8	17	14.5	15.6	-1.05	15.4	14.9	0.50
Stephen Graham	11	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-3	7	12.1	15.8	-3.66	15.9	14.8	1.10
Derrick Brown	5	7	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	-1	3	5.6	15.9	-10.27	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Larry Hughes	51	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	12	-23	14.6	16.2	-1.55	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Tyson Chandler	67	63	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	13	-25	15.9	14.1	1.81	14.9	15.2	-0.32

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	45	46	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.14	15	-16	31	14.0	15.9	-1.96	16.2	14.5	1.66
Morris Peterson	48	48	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-11	21	14.0	16.0	-2.00	16.0	14.7	1.33
Julian Wright	17	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	12	-25	17.5	14.4	3.04	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Aaron Gray	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.12	-16	15	-31	16.0	14.6	1.43	13.1	16.2	-3.04
David West	80	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.50	5	-6	11	14.8	15.9	-1.12	15.6	13.2	2.48
Marcus Thornton	81	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-4	7	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.6	13.2	2.48
Darren Collison	90	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.61	8	-9	17	14.7	20.2	-5.51	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Darius Songaila	36	35	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	5	-11	15.9	14.4	1.43	15.1	15.4	-0.30
James Posey	46	48	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.38	-11	10	-21	16.0	14.0	2.00	14.7	16.0	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.79,0.65,0.42,0	92.5%
MIL 107, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.08,0	92.3%
PHX 107, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.73,0.39,0.71,0.33,0.26,0	89.2%