NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	5.1 [766]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +10.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	103		Comeback	2.0 [948]		LVP	Dale Davis (IND): -16.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	17	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Reggie Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	11	74%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	73%	0.12	3	-0.04	12	83%	0.02
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	86%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	117%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	62%	0.01
Chris Mullin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	7	27%	-0.16	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.10

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	59%	0.03	3	-0.08	14	93%	0.05
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	0.08	6	57%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	73%	0.03	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	19	52%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.5	13.7	33.2	1.8	40.1	142.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.6%

IND +2.7%

VAN -15.8%

IND +22.0%

IND +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	VAN	NBA	IND	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.6	118.1	107.3	102.5
season	16.0	15.1		105.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	16.1		109.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	17.4	13.8	13.2	14.9
VAN	14.4	16.9	15.6	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	59	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.23	9	-1	10	15.0	14.8	0.14	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Derrick McKey	42	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	-2	12	15.8	14.2	1.66	15.0	15.7	-0.77
Jalen Rose	39	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-1	10	14.3	15.4	-1.08	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Travis Best	52	56	0.32	0.17	0.14	0.17	5	3	2	14.7	15.1	-0.37	14.2	17.0	-2.75
Dale Davis	60	59	0.20	0.29	-0.10	0.14	2	6	-4	14.2	16.2	-1.98	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Rik Smits	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	1	6	15.2	14.6	0.68	16.0	14.8	1.12
Mark Jackson	42	40	0.17	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	15.1	14.7	0.37	17.0	14.2	2.75
Chris Mullin	67	68	0.09	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	10	-12	14.3	16.4	-2.04	15.5	15.1	0.36
Reggie Miller	61	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	11	-14	15.7	13.4	2.30	15.6	15.0	0.62

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	45	46	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	-0.06	0	-8	8	16.3	14.6	1.76	15.2	14.7	0.51
Lee Mayberry	47	50	-0.11	-0.38	0.27	-0.11	0	-8	8	16.4	14.4	2.06	15.4	14.4	0.95
George Lynch	34	31	-0.16	-0.33	0.17	-0.16	0	-8	8	15.0	15.6	-0.66	16.5	14.1	2.34
Bryant Reeves	60	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-8	8	15.4	15.4	0.01	15.6	13.6	2.02
Blue Edwards	39	36	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.12	-3	-5	2	14.1	16.3	-2.26	15.1	14.8	0.36
Sam Mack	63	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-4	0	15.8	14.6	1.25	13.8	17.2	-3.36
Ivano Newbill	32	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	-10	2	-12	16.1	15.0	1.09	14.9	14.9	-0.07
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	71	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-4	0	15.7	14.6	1.13	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Antonio Daniels	49	44	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	0	-8	14.4	16.4	-2.06	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Pete Chilcutt	40	37	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	3	-14	14.2	16.2	-2.01	14.5	15.2	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	95.1%
CLE 115, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0.01,0	95.1%
MIA 107, MEM 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%