NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	5.5 [703]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +11.6%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.6 [712]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -29.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	31	57%	0.14	2	-0.02	13	54%	-0.06
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	23	43%	-0.11	2	-0.02	10	70%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.01	0.07	7	81%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	17	49%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.00	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	8	29%	-0.12	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.19	-0.08	0.02	20	30%	-0.17	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	30.5	19.5	30.4	2.7	35.2	145.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +20.3%

LAL +0.8%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +20.4%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	15.5	15.2	102.2	93.4	101.7
season	15.3	16.1		105.6	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.0	15.6	14.7	17.2	16.4
NYK	13.3	17.9	16.0	14.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	84	85	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.22	12	-5	17	16.2	19.2	-3.00	15.2	19.0	-3.79
Shaquille O'Neal	86	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	1	5	16.5	14.2	2.22	15.5	15.0	0.49
A.C. Green	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-2	11	16.5	16.2	0.33	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Rick Fox	28	30	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-1	9	15.2	16.9	-1.67	15.9	15.3	0.60
Derek Fisher	23	26	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	1	5	15.9	16.5	-0.67	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Glen Rice	62	62	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	6	-5	16.9	15.2	1.67	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Robert Horry	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	9	-11	16.2	16.5	-0.33	15.8	15.2	0.61
Ron Harper	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	6	-5	16.9	16.0	0.98	15.7	15.3	0.48
Brian Shaw	36	35	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	12	-17	16.6	16.2	0.31	16.4	14.9	1.48
John Salley	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	8	-9	14.2	16.5	-2.22	18.7	15.3	3.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	43	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	15.5	15.5	0.01	16.7	16.1	0.58
Patrick Ewing	67	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-11	15	15.3	16.0	-0.73	17.3	13.5	3.85
John Wallace	20	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	14.2	15.8	-1.55	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Marcus Camby	45	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.3	0.41	14.8	17.7	-2.87
Larry Johnson	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	5	-17	16.9	14.6	2.36	15.8	16.7	-0.87
Chris Childs	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-6	5	15.4	15.5	-0.17	15.8	16.8	-1.03
Allan Houston	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-5	3	15.3	16.1	-0.81	17.0	14.0	2.96
Kurt Thomas	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-5	3	15.0	16.1	-1.07	16.6	16.0	0.66
Latrell Sprewell	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	0	-7	15.7	14.2	1.53	16.3	16.8	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.2%
IND 111, VAN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
SAC 109, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.5%