NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	5.8 [683]		MVP	Martell Webster (WAS): +10.4%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	1.8 [179]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -15.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.01	18	63%	0.19	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	11	66%	0.17	4	-0.08	13	100%	0.06
Tyler Zeller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	2	80%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Bennett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.18	-0.02	0.06	10	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.03	0.07	19	64%	0.13	3	-0.05	12	83%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.04	12	73%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	15	30%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	30.4	15.6	26.4	2.8	41.2	140.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.6%

CLE +13.6%

CLE +12.5%

WAS -6.5%

CLE +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	15.1	117.3	115.3	105.2
season	15.2	15.1		102.8	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	13.1	15.6	17.7	15.4
WAS	13.6	15.7	15.0	11.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	41	40	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-11	24	14.3	16.2	-1.86	16.6	12.2	4.37
Dion Waiters	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	-3	8	15.9	14.5	1.46	14.1	13.8	0.34
Tyler Zeller	33	32	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	0	2	16.1	15.1	1.00	15.6	13.2	2.34
Matthew Dellavedova	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	1	0	13.8	16.1	-2.38	15.6	13.3	2.33
Alonzo Gee	57	57	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.45	-7	9	-16	14.8	16.2	-1.41	13.4	14.8	-1.40
CJ Miles	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-5	12	14.9	15.9	-1.03	14.4	13.6	0.76
Kyrie Irving	68	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	4	-6	15.9	14.2	1.73	12.9	16.5	-3.59
Tristan Thompson	75	73	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.64	-16	18	-34	15.6	14.6	1.03	13.1	16.6	-3.56
Anderson Varejao	46	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	-2	6	15.8	15.0	0.77	12.9	15.0	-2.06
Jarrett Jack	25	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	-1	4	16.4	15.0	1.40	13.8	14.1	-0.30

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	16.7	13.5	3.24	13.1	15.8	-2.72
Trevor Ariza	79	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.53	14	-16	30	12.6	19.7	-7.13	15.5	14.9	0.62
Marcin Gortat	70	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-11	20	13.3	15.8	-2.51	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Nene	71	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-11	20	13.0	16.7	-3.75	16.4	13.0	3.41
John Wall	82	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.48	10	-12	22	13.0	19.1	-6.06	15.4	15.2	0.18
Jan Vesely	12	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	5	-12	16.7	13.6	3.05	12.7	15.8	-3.02
Garrett Temple	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	11	-24	18.1	13.1	4.99	14.4	15.6	-1.19
Kevin Seraphin	26	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	8	-18	16.8	13.0	3.89	16.4	15.0	1.34
Bradley Beal	66	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	7	-16	14.8	12.2	2.58	17.5	11.4	6.06
Martell Webster	52	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	7	-16	14.8	13.1	1.66	12.6	18.5	-5.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	95.1%
IND 111, VAN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 83, NOH 67	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%