NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	107		Excitement	4.8 [881]		MVP	Andrew Harrison (MEM): +13.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	82		Comeback	1.8 [518]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -10.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bam Adebayo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	6	82%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	12	68%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Josh Richardson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	9	74%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	7	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.01	0.09	10	70%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	17	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.05	14	50%	-0.00	4	-0.10	10	70%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	30.1	15.3	30.6	1.8	27.1	131.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +40.9%

MIA +6.7%

MEM -7.1%

MIA +5.6%

MIA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	MEM	NBA	MIA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	17.2	14.7	117.6	93.2	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		105.4	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.4	14.0	14.6	16.3	15.0
MEM	16.6	16.1	18.3	18.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	50	47	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.04	24	1	23	14.0	16.2	-2.20	17.7	16.6	1.11
James Johnson	64	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	4	17	14.4	16.5	-2.09	17.0	17.7	-0.72
Wayne Ellington	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.28	21	4	17	14.7	15.4	-0.68	17.4	16.8	0.66
Tyler Johnson	62	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	7	11	14.6	15.9	-1.25	16.8	18.0	-1.24
Bam Adebayo	42	39	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	15	-5	16.3	13.9	2.32	17.3	17.1	0.19
Josh Richardson	54	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.23	16	9	7	16.3	13.1	3.25	17.5	16.7	0.81
Justise Winslow	42	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	8	9	14.9	15.1	-0.29	17.8	16.7	1.08
Kelly Olynyk	34	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	23	-21	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.8	17.5	-0.67
Udonis Haslem	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	12.5	15.1	-2.63	15.0	17.3	-2.31
Jordan Mickey	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	12.5	15.1	-2.63	15.0	17.3	-2.31
Dion Waiters	47	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	30	-35	15.6	14.4	1.21	16.7	17.7	-1.00

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deyonta Davis	25	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-27	29	16.3	17.6	-1.29	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Jarell Martin	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	15.0	17.3	-2.31	12.5	15.1	-2.63
Vincent Hunter	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	15.0	17.3	-2.31	12.5	15.1	-2.63
Ivan Rabb	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	15.0	17.3	-2.31	12.5	15.1	-2.63
Dillon Brooks	32	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.20	-9	-16	7	17.3	17.1	0.22	15.8	14.5	1.33
Ben McLemore	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-24	23	16.4	17.6	-1.13	14.2	15.4	-1.13
JaMychal Green	57	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.28	-14	-11	-3	17.6	16.5	1.01	15.8	13.4	2.40
James Ennis III	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-23	21	17.1	17.3	-0.25	14.5	15.5	-0.95
Tyreke Evans	59	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.22	-16	-9	-7	17.6	16.5	1.08	15.5	14.0	1.56
Chandler Parsons	45	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.22	-20	-5	-15	16.4	18.0	-1.65	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Andrew Harrison	54	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.10	-17	-8	-9	17.6	16.5	1.10	15.5	14.2	1.33
Mario Chalmers	22	19	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-7	-11	18.2	16.9	1.30	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Marc Gasol	63	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.27	-27	2	-29	17.6	16.3	1.29	15.0	14.9	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
IND 111, VAN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 97, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%