NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	5.3 [775]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +17.5%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.4 [275]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): -12.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.01	14	61%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.05	9	75%	0.15	1	-0.01	14	93%	0.04
Andre Iguodala	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.04	-0.04	15	62%	0.15	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	7	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	6	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	69%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	16	52%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	19	45%	0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	18	49%	0.01	5	-0.12	17	59%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.4	16.7	27.1	2.3	36.4	139.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.2%

PHI +18.8%

ORL -8.8%

PHI +18.4%

ORL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.5	102.1	93.7	105.7
season	15.5	15.2		104.6	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.4	14.4	17.1	16.0	16.0
ORL	12.9	15.0	15.0	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	4	0	16.5	13.3	3.21	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Elton Brand	62	64	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-1	10	17.1	13.8	3.29	13.8	15.5	-1.78
Marreese Speights	34	32	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	14.2	17.0	-2.79	16.1	13.5	2.59
Jodie Meeks	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	5	-2	16.5	15.3	1.26	13.6	15.3	-1.74
Spencer Hawes	47	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	9	-10	18.0	14.0	4.02	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Lou Williams	61	60	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.20	1	7	-6	15.0	17.6	-2.57	14.6	13.8	0.82
Jrue Holiday	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	1	6	16.7	15.3	1.37	12.9	15.6	-2.69
Thaddeus Young	55	54	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	9	-10	14.9	17.5	-2.60	14.9	13.6	1.30
Andres Nocioni	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	2	4	14.2	16.5	-2.22	16.6	13.7	2.92
Evan Turner	19	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	4	0	13.1	16.7	-3.64	16.4	13.9	2.52

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	13	13	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-15	22	14.2	14.4	-0.14	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Chris Duhon	37	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-6	4	14.8	14.1	0.67	14.9	16.6	-1.74
Malik Allen	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-7	6	14.9	13.9	1.05	15.2	16.6	-1.34
Dwight Howard	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-4	0	14.0	15.9	-1.91	16.3	14.4	1.86
Brandon Bass	66	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	1	-10	14.5	14.1	0.35	16.3	15.2	1.05
Quentin Richardson	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	14.0	17.3	-3.30	16.3	12.8	3.52
Jameer Nelson	71	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	5	-18	14.2	14.9	-0.76	16.4	14.7	1.75
JJ Redick	79	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	3	-14	14.6	13.1	1.55	15.8	16.9	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIL 96, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MIA 107, MEM 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%