NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	5.8 [653]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +13.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	1.2 [470]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.04	-0.03	10	64%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	26	51%	0.12	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Glenn Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.04	22	69%	0.16	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	11	32%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	5	19%	-0.14	2	-0.06	6	17%	-0.12

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damone Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.04	13	53%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	13	23%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.06	22	35%	-0.14	5	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	23.0	15.8	27.3	2.3	25.5	121.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +48.8%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +1.9%

MIL +0.9%

PHI -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.5	15.8	15.6	97.0	81.6	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		104.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		98.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.3	15.3	13.2	14.4	13.5
PHI	15.4	16.0	15.0	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	87	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-3	22	13.1	15.8	-2.71	15.5	18.0	-2.48
Tim Thomas	60	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	1	14	13.8	12.9	0.88	16.1	15.3	0.81
Darvin Ham	42	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	2	12	14.0	13.1	0.91	15.9	15.7	0.26
Ervin Johnson	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	5	6	14.7	12.4	2.22	16.6	15.1	1.45
Michael Redd	18	18	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	8	0	13.1	13.5	-0.42	20.9	14.6	6.24
Glenn Robinson	81	80	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	8	0	13.5	13.1	0.42	14.6	20.9	-6.24
Joel Przybilla	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	15	-14	12.2	14.4	-2.16	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Anthony Mason	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	14	-12	12.9	14.6	-1.73	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Ray Allen	49	50	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	14	-12	13.9	13.0	0.84	15.9	15.7	0.21
Mark Pope	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	15.5	13.4	2.13	11.5	16.0	-4.48
Rafer Alston	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	7.0	13.5	-6.52	0.0	15.8	-15.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	12.2	16.0	-3.87	14.5	13.4	1.11
Raja Bell	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	12.2	16.0	-3.87	14.5	13.4	1.11
Damone Brown	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	12.2	16.0	-3.87	14.5	13.4	1.11
Vonteego Cummings	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	12.2	16.0	-3.87	14.5	13.4	1.11
Matt Harpring	65	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-14	12	15.7	16.0	-0.26	12.6	15.0	-2.35
Dikembe Mutombo	77	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	15.0	18.9	-3.90	13.2	14.5	-1.37
Derrick Coleman	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	16.0	14.8	1.25	13.2	14.3	-1.07
Aaron McKie	62	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-6	-4	16.2	15.1	1.08	13.5	13.3	0.19
Michael Ruffin	33	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-3	-10	17.8	14.8	3.09	14.4	13.0	1.45
Allen Iverson	88	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	16.0	14.1	1.89	13.5	13.2	0.28
Eric Snow	61	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	3	-22	16.3	15.0	1.28	13.9	12.7	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DEN 108, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
UTA 132, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%