inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 132 Excitement5.8 [645] MVPCJ Miles (UTA): +23.8%
Chicago Bulls 108 Comeback1.2 [942] LVPDerrick Rose (CHI): -9.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ Miles0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.030.031293%0.251-0.01450%-0.02
Deron Williams0.210,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.040.051582%0.241-0.03475%-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.021155%0.0300.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.021153%0.0200.00875%-0.02
Wesley Matthews0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.09-0.060.01686%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Sundiata Gaines0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Othyus Jeffers0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02456%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
Mehmet Okur-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.020.01856%0.094-0.10989%0.03
Ronnie Price-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.011155%0.073-0.09786%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brad Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.15-0.010.01983%0.171-0.03683%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00554%0.0600.00333%-0.04
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.011060%0.0500.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.02-0.01-0.04673%0.093-0.04333%-0.03
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01870%0.072-0.02450%-0.02
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.02542%0.0210.002100%0.00
Joe Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Richard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.05-0.011156%0.031-0.04367%-0.01
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0100%0.003-0.0800%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.050.061957%0.015-0.11683%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.828.215.728.61.037.3136.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +12.3%
UTA +10.4%
UTA +18.4%
UTA +3.8%
UTA +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTACHINBAUTACHINBA
this game15.613.715.3134.7109.1106.0
season15.314.7109.5101.9
opponent15.715.0103.9104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.516.813.615.415.6
CHI13.512.715.213.413.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deron Williams73750.50-0.000.50-0.202402415.515.8-0.2814.112.51.58
Paul Millsap65660.440.060.39-0.232312215.316.0-0.6814.013.10.91
Wesley Matthews52520.390.110.280.071113-215.515.7-0.1914.013.40.60
Carlos Boozer64680.360.140.23-0.191951415.815.10.7113.414.3-0.82
CJ Miles38400.290.210.08-0.18168815.315.7-0.4313.114.1-1.00
Andrei Kirilenko59610.210.29-0.07-0.141212015.715.30.3613.913.30.62
Mehmet Okur62600.190.31-0.120.10321-1815.615.40.1713.613.8-0.12
Kyle Korver38380.110.39-0.280.02321-1815.915.30.6013.613.8-0.19
Sundiata Gaines540.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1814.615.6-1.0013.713.70.06
Kyrylo Fesenko540.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1814.615.6-1.0013.713.70.06
Othyus Jeffers54-0.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1814.615.6-1.0013.713.70.06
Ronnie Price2423-0.000.50-0.50-0.00024-2415.815.50.3712.414.1-1.70

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo21210.17-0.670.850.23-2-222012.114.1-1.9715.215.6-0.46
Hakim Warrick65590.02-0.520.540.11-3-211812.815.4-2.5715.715.30.36
Joe Alexander450.00-0.500.500.09-3-211813.713.70.0614.615.6-1.00
Acie Law87-0.00-0.500.500.29-10-14413.013.8-0.7614.415.6-1.21
James Johnson2325-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-13214.313.50.8514.216.0-1.81
Ronald Murray4745-0.24-0.260.030.20-15-9-612.814.5-1.7316.015.20.87
Chris Richard3636-0.26-0.24-0.020.24-17-7-1012.814.2-1.4415.215.7-0.48
Taj Gibson2425-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-14415.313.22.1615.715.50.23
Luol Deng6563-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.17-4-201613.913.30.6616.014.81.21
Brad Miller6668-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-11-13214.112.81.2715.815.10.70
Kirk Hinrich5758-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-12-12014.512.61.9115.316.0-0.72
Derrick Rose7978-0.670.17-0.85-0.03-22-2-2014.112.31.7515.615.20.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 96, PHI 800.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
MIA 86, WAS 840.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,094.0%
DEN 114, SAC 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.0%