inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement5.0 [844] MVPGeorge Hill (SAC): +16.2%
Sacramento Kings 98 Comeback1.3 [992] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -14.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.160,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.020.031576%0.192-0.03367%-0.01
Gary Harris0.140,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.04-0.001371%0.192-0.05250%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.021267%0.112-0.0500%0.00
Trey Lyles0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.01757%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.00955%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Jamal Murray0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.120.000.071072%0.071-0.035100%0.01
Malik Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Lydon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02733%-0.0200.004100%0.02
Mason Plumlee-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.04636%0.002-0.03250%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.00621%-0.073-0.08250%-0.02

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.030.011076%0.1600.001100%0.01
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.02980%0.1300.002100%0.01
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04570%0.0100.0000%0.00
Malachi Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.02367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Frank Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.000.05779%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Skal Labissiere0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03636%0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011250%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001145%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.020.02957%0.023-0.063100%0.02
Garrett Temple0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.02-0.05720%-0.032-0.031100%0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00714%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.525.514.325.32.026.4121.2
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.2%
SAC -6.3%
DEN +18.1%
DEN +1.2%
DEN +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game14.915.114.7116.3104.3107.5
season14.715.4111.2102.9
opponent14.714.7110.1109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.014.414.117.214.9
SAC13.216.916.714.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic72680.50-0.000.51-0.2024-83214.515.9-1.4515.813.52.23
Gary Harris81780.410.090.32-0.1218-22014.615.9-1.3115.115.4-0.35
Trey Lyles37360.400.100.31-0.011421214.515.1-0.6015.315.10.21
Will Barton75720.390.110.29-0.1619-32214.416.5-2.1215.713.42.27
Jamal Murray51490.280.220.06-0.101331014.914.80.0914.515.8-1.33
Juan Hernangomez43430.260.240.020.08610-415.814.11.6615.315.10.20
Emmanuel Mudiay40370.160.34-0.190.22-218-2014.415.1-0.6915.514.90.51
Mason Plumlee39400.090.41-0.330.17-319-2215.914.21.7314.715.5-0.78
Kenneth Faried44400.010.49-0.490.01016-1614.215.4-1.1814.615.5-0.87
Malik Beasley440.000.50-0.500.09-319-2222.214.57.7113.015.2-2.24
Tyler Lydon430.000.50-0.500.18-622-2822.214.57.719.015.4-6.35

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrett Temple51540.01-0.510.520.10-3-131015.015.3-0.3314.914.70.19
Malachi Richardson1616-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-182015.215.10.1217.214.42.86
Justin Jackson1718-0.13-0.370.23-0.04-3-131016.514.81.6914.814.9-0.10
Skal Labissiere2429-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-12814.515.4-0.8214.714.9-0.29
Zach Randolph5155-0.20-0.290.090.15-12-4-815.514.70.7914.016.0-2.04
George Hill6569-0.24-0.260.020.03-9-7-214.716.1-1.3814.615.4-0.79
Willie Cauley-Stein4645-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.11-6-10415.514.80.6914.415.2-0.80
Frank Mason4041-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-11-5-615.514.90.6515.014.70.29
Kosta Koufos5554-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.00-12-4-814.815.6-0.8015.613.91.68
De'Aaron Fox6367-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-9-7-214.616.3-1.6515.313.91.40
Bogdan Bogdanovic4242-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-13-3-1015.814.61.1914.215.4-1.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 86, WAS 840.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,095.5%
SEA 101, GSW 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.8%
NOH 78, MIA 690.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.6%