NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	5.5 [692]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +5.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.6 [214]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -12.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	17	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Elliot Perry	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Litterial Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	23	51%	-0.03	4	-0.04	7	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	65%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	6	67%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.06	0.08	17	67%	0.05	4	-0.14	11	73%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	10	46%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	15	44%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	1.7	26.3	15.6	27.2	1.7	37.3	130.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +15.4%

MIL +9.0%

CLE -2.5%

MIL +34.3%

CLE -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	108.8	100.0	102.5
season	16.0	15.4		101.1	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.1		97.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.3	17.4	17.9	14.7	15.5
CLE	19.0	15.4	16.4	13.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	74	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-8	22	14.7	18.7	-3.98	16.1	14.4	1.75
Armen Gilliam	43	45	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-1	8	16.2	14.8	1.40	14.0	17.5	-3.46
Tyrone Hill	70	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-2	10	15.2	16.2	-1.00	16.3	14.3	1.99
Ray Allen	82	83	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	3	0	15.5	15.2	0.28	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Michael Curry	55	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	16.0	14.6	1.38	14.3	18.2	-3.95
Elliot Perry	52	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	2	2	14.1	17.4	-3.30	16.8	14.6	2.14
Andrew Lang	10	10	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	-1	8	14.2	15.6	-1.43	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Ervin Johnson	56	56	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	13	-20	16.1	14.5	1.51	17.2	13.7	3.53
Litterial Green	13	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	13	-20	20.2	14.7	5.46	15.1	15.9	-0.87

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Thomas	25	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-11	16	15.5	16.0	-0.48	15.8	15.4	0.42
Scott Brooks	5	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-9	12	12.0	16.0	-4.05	24.2	14.9	9.31
Vitaly Potapenko	46	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-14	22	15.0	16.6	-1.60	15.9	15.0	0.91
Danny Ferry	5	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-1	-4	21.2	15.5	5.68	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Cedric Henderson	36	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	0	-6	18.1	14.4	3.68	14.6	16.1	-1.58
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	1	-8	16.1	15.0	1.01	16.4	12.7	3.70
Bob Sura	60	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	15.0	17.3	-2.24	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	2	-10	15.7	16.0	-0.30	14.1	18.3	-4.17
Wesley Person	89	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	2	-10	15.8	16.0	-0.18	15.4	17.2	-1.83
Brevin Knight	64	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	15.7	16.0	-0.25	15.2	16.0	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.2%
LAC 88, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.2%
HOU 88, LAC 71	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%