NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	5.6 [661]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +8.3%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.9 [691]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -19.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	13	64%	0.07	0	0.00	13	85%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	150%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	13	40%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.08	0.05	27	43%	-0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.5	16.5	25.8	2.0	42.0	142.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +48.4%

POR +6.8%

ORL -1.7%

ORL -2.0%

ORL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	15.5	97.0	90.8	101.6
season	16.0	14.6		104.3	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.7		103.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	14.1	14.8	14.6	14.8
ORL	14.8	16.6	13.4	13.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	42	42	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-10	27	15.5	14.4	1.13	14.7	14.2	0.49
Scottie Pippen	64	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-4	15	14.5	15.3	-0.80	15.2	13.1	2.10
Ruben Patterson	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	15.1	14.6	0.54	14.0	14.8	-0.72
Rasheed Wallace	97	97	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	1	5	14.9	12.5	2.38	14.4	12.0	2.43
Damon Stoudamire	26	26	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	2	3	14.6	14.9	-0.34	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Bonzi Wells	60	59	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	6	-5	14.5	15.4	-0.88	15.1	13.3	1.79
Zach Randolph	2	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	6	-5	12.5	14.9	-2.38	12.0	14.4	-2.43
Derek Anderson	69	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	12	-17	14.2	16.2	-1.97	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Jeff McInnis	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	11	-15	15.3	14.5	0.80	13.1	15.2	-2.10
Dale Davis	52	52	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	15	-23	15.4	14.2	1.13	14.9	13.9	1.02

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	55	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-7	7	14.9	13.8	1.10	14.8	14.8	0.02
Pat Garrity	79	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-12	17	13.9	16.6	-2.69	14.5	16.2	-1.71
Steven Hunter	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	0	-7	14.6	14.4	0.18	17.2	14.6	2.63
Pat Burke	6	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-4	1	16.5	14.3	2.23	16.7	14.7	1.96
Jeryl Sasser	30	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	2	-11	15.3	14.0	1.24	16.0	14.4	1.68
Mike Miller	85	87	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-8	9	14.0	17.3	-3.34	14.7	15.9	-1.24
Darrell Armstrong	50	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-5	3	13.2	15.6	-2.38	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Jacque Vaughn	54	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	15.0	13.7	1.24	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Andrew DeClercq	45	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	4	-15	15.2	13.7	1.55	16.0	13.9	2.07
Tracy McGrady	79	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	14.5	14.2	0.25	14.6	15.8	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, UTA 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.02,0,0	94.2%
SAC 104, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0	93.5%
PHX 115, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%