NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	5.6 [670]		MVP	Caron Butler (LAC): +6.2%
Detroit Pistons	76		Comeback	1.6 [1011]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): -16.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	52%	0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	11	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	17	44%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	55%	0.05	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	16	43%	0.02	5	-0.15	5	60%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	6	14%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	24.7	17.7	28.4	2.8	31.0	133.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +13.0%

LAC +5.7%

LAC +9.3%

LAC +23.8%

DET -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	17.2	15.4	101.1	88.4	104.1
season	15.6	15.7		109.0	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	15.5	19.1	15.5	16.1
DET	15.3	15.8	18.8	19.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.03	14	-2	16	15.4	17.4	-1.95	16.6	18.4	-1.85
Eric Bledsoe	27	27	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	2	8	16.1	16.0	0.10	17.4	17.1	0.33
Lamar Odom	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	5	2	16.5	15.4	1.08	17.3	17.1	0.28
Ronny Turiaf	23	22	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	4	4	16.9	15.8	1.07	18.5	16.8	1.66
Caron Butler	34	33	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	3	6	15.6	16.4	-0.76	18.1	16.7	1.41
Blake Griffin	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	4	4	15.3	17.2	-1.90	16.7	18.0	-1.24
Matt Barnes	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	9	-6	16.4	15.6	0.76	16.7	18.1	-1.41
Chris Paul	60	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	10	-8	16.0	16.1	-0.10	17.1	17.4	-0.33
Willie Green	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	14	-16	17.4	15.4	1.95	18.4	16.6	1.85
DeAndre Jordan	47	47	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	11	-10	16.0	16.1	-0.08	17.1	17.4	-0.35

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-11	10	15.8	17.7	-1.96	15.5	16.3	-0.76
Andre Drummond	36	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-8	4	16.7	17.6	-0.86	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Kyle Singler	70	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-13	14	16.9	18.7	-1.80	16.1	16.0	0.10
Tayshaun Prince	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	17.5	16.4	1.13	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Brandon Knight	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	17.5	16.5	1.01	15.8	16.7	-0.87
Will Bynum	28	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	17.4	17.2	0.20	16.3	16.0	0.36
Austin Daye	34	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	16.7	17.5	-0.80	16.4	15.9	0.51
Jason Maxiell	43	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-3	-6	18.8	15.7	3.14	16.6	15.6	1.03
Greg Monroe	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	17.0	18.2	-1.26	16.0	16.6	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, UTA 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.8%
SAS 92, MIN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
WAS 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.5%