inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 92 Excitement5.2 [747] MVPChuck Person (SAS): +10.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves 76 Comeback1.4 [772] LVPKevin Garnett (MIN): -21.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chuck Person0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.023133%0.1000.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0.080,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.031167%0.0800.00250%-0.02
Avery Johnson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.011279%0.164-0.094100%0.02
Monty Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.021459%0.084-0.076100%0.02
Willie Burton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Perdue-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Carl Herrera-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00260%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Reggie Geary-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0230%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.00325%-0.0600.002100%0.01
David Robinson-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.000.011244%-0.054-0.101090%0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stanley Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.001258%0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Bill Curley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Wheat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.01-0.03928%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.031041%-0.012-0.02250%-0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.030.011443%-0.031-0.042100%0.01
Sam Mitchell0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.12-0.070.001031%-0.151-0.03667%-0.02
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.14-0.09-0.012135%-0.162-0.06450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.723.215.522.21.729.4117.5
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +44.4%
SAS +21.7%
MIN -10.6%
MIN -5.7%
SAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game16.616.715.6105.788.4102.5
season15.914.8100.9105.3
opponent15.715.9104.997.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.117.017.017.416.6
MIN16.317.317.316.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan67680.54-0.040.580.0118-22017.015.11.8417.015.81.14
David Robinson64640.400.100.300.05124816.217.4-1.1817.414.92.51
Avery Johnson73700.330.170.16-0.02124816.516.9-0.4417.513.53.97
Jaren Jackson31320.320.180.140.0697217.316.21.0816.217.1-0.87
Monty Williams34340.250.25-0.000.10511-617.316.11.2517.416.31.07
Vinny Del Negro62610.220.28-0.06-0.08106416.217.5-1.3416.916.30.58
Chuck Person44420.210.29-0.08-0.0288015.717.4-1.6917.116.40.66
Reggie Geary14160.170.33-0.160.05412-816.916.50.4413.517.5-3.97
Will Perdue23220.100.40-0.30-0.02412-817.416.21.1814.917.4-2.51
Willie Burton330.000.50-0.500.00016-1621.016.44.607.017.1-10.08
Malik Rose87-0.010.51-0.520.02-117-1817.616.51.1711.717.2-5.46
Carl Herrera1211-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-117-1813.517.1-3.5518.516.51.97

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bill Curley450.02-0.520.540.020-161610.717.0-6.2717.616.51.10
Reggie Jordan330.00-0.500.500.000-16167.017.1-10.0821.016.44.60
DeJuan Wheat330.00-0.500.500.000-16167.017.1-10.0821.016.44.60
Tom Hammonds3233-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-151417.216.40.8216.516.6-0.03
Terry Porter3937-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-10416.616.8-0.1716.116.9-0.79
Stanley Roberts4040-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-131018.015.62.4616.216.9-0.72
Cherokee Parks2728-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-6-415.017.5-2.5817.116.30.75
Stephon Marbury6972-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-10-6-417.613.44.1416.417.5-1.09
Sam Mitchell6868-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-14-2-1217.115.51.5616.317.6-1.30
Kevin Garnett7777-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.02-15-1-1416.914.92.0616.814.62.22
Anthony Peeler6869-0.590.09-0.690.02-215-2616.318.4-2.1716.616.60.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 108, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,094.5%
VAN 101, NJN 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,094.4%
SAC 104, DAL 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,094.4%