NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	6.0 [616]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +11.5%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.4 [433]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -11.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.07	0.01	10	71%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	63%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.02	18	53%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	15	58%	0.10	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	56%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	18	41%	-0.08	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	18	67%	0.17	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.02	17	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	14	71%	0.12	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	24	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	28.3	14.8	23.1	2.4	34.7	129.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.2%

POR +0.3%

POR +33.8%

PHX -5.2%

POR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	14.4	15.6	117.4	108.8	102.3
season	16.0	15.1		105.0	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	19.0	18.3	15.1	17.1
PHX	14.9	16.1	15.1	12.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	16.9	18.2	-1.34	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Rasheed Wallace	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	18.1	13.1	5.00	15.1	11.3	3.80
Scottie Pippen	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	18.2	13.8	4.39	15.3	11.8	3.47
Dale Davis	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	4	1	17.8	14.7	3.09	14.5	14.0	0.49
Ruben Patterson	31	30	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	1	7	17.5	16.9	0.62	15.9	13.7	2.21
Derek Anderson	46	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	5	-1	16.3	17.8	-1.54	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Bonzi Wells	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	8	-7	16.9	17.5	-0.62	13.7	15.9	-2.21
Rick Brunson	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	11.9	18.1	-6.14	10.7	15.1	-4.37
Shawn Kemp	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	19.3	16.8	2.49	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Chris Dudley	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	3.0	17.2	-14.23	0.0	14.4	-14.38
Zach Randolph	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	3.3	18.0	-14.70	6.3	15.0	-8.62

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	33	34	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-15	21	14.2	14.5	-0.22	18.1	16.5	1.65
Dan Majerle	12	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-10	11	11.8	14.8	-2.94	13.6	17.8	-4.15
Bo Outlaw	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	14.3	14.6	-0.27	18.3	14.6	3.67
Alton Ford	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-6	3	22.0	14.0	7.97	18.2	17.0	1.23
Anfernee Hardaway	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-2	-5	15.8	12.7	3.14	17.6	16.4	1.19
Jake Tsakalidis	19	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	0	-9	16.3	13.9	2.44	16.9	17.1	-0.17
Tony Delk	50	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-5	1	12.8	16.3	-3.43	16.7	17.6	-0.97
Shawn Marion	85	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	-1	-7	14.4	13.8	0.59	17.0	18.0	-0.99
Stephon Marbury	85	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	1	-11	14.5	13.3	1.13	17.0	18.1	-1.15
Rodney Rogers	56	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	2	-13	13.9	15.2	-1.37	16.1	18.6	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 109, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
NJN 93, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.3%