NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	5.1 [782]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +18.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	71		Comeback	1.9 [814]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -20.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.06	14	61%	0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.08	0.04	26	60%	0.22	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Luis Scola	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	6	-0.16	5	80%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	13	62%	0.22	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	-0.07	9	24%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	20	44%	-0.03	7	-0.18	10	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	30.3	15.6	24.9	1.8	31.3	132.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.9%

HOU +8.3%

HOU +6.1%

LAC -4.2%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	16.2	15.4	94.6	78.0	105.7
season	16.2	15.6		104.6	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	15.3	14.7	15.6	15.2
LAC	19.3	15.3	14.7	15.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	45	46	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-1	19	15.0	15.3	-0.38	16.4	16.0	0.41
Yao Ming	70	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-1	19	15.7	13.4	2.34	16.2	16.1	0.03
Tracy McGrady	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	0	17	14.9	17.3	-2.41	15.9	18.0	-2.06
Rafer Alston	79	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	2	13	14.9	16.6	-1.67	15.9	17.4	-1.41
Bonzi Wells	36	33	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	5	7	14.2	15.7	-1.51	16.5	16.0	0.55
Shane Battier	59	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	15	-13	15.5	14.5	1.07	16.1	16.3	-0.28
Steve Francis	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	15	-13	16.6	14.9	1.67	17.4	15.9	1.41
Mike James	14	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	14	-11	16.6	14.9	1.67	16.9	16.0	0.88
Luis Scola	48	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	18	-19	14.8	15.5	-0.66	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Dikembe Mutombo	18	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	18	-19	15.0	15.2	-0.19	16.5	16.1	0.41

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	7	6	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-21	25	18.4	16.0	2.45	17.8	15.0	2.87
Tim Thomas	80	80	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-16	15	16.2	16.0	0.19	15.5	13.0	2.50
Quinton Ross	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.16	-7	-10	3	17.9	15.4	2.49	16.3	14.6	1.64
Aaron Williams	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-15	13	18.4	15.2	3.22	14.1	15.6	-1.41
Brevin Knight	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-15	13	15.1	16.6	-1.47	15.9	14.8	1.04
Corey Maggette	57	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-7	-3	15.6	17.1	-1.57	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Ruben Patterson	21	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-7	-3	14.6	16.6	-2.01	12.9	15.8	-2.96
Dan Dickau	58	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	2	-21	16.4	15.8	0.54	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Cuttino Mobley	66	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.03	-18	1	-19	15.6	17.6	-1.98	15.3	14.8	0.48
Chris Kaman	83	86	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.03	-20	3	-23	16.0	17.6	-1.60	15.5	10.3	5.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
DAL 94, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.0%
PHX 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%