inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 99 Excitement5.5 [674] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +31.1%
Golden State Warriors 87 Comeback1.4 [894] LVPTony Delk (GSW): -28.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.270.070.022974%0.362-0.051090%0.03
Lawrence Moten0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Harvey Grant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02633%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.07-0.00-0.06721%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Darvin Ham-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.001942%-0.041-0.03540%-0.04
Terry Davis-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.0140%-0.072-0.0300%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.170,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.05-0.011847%-0.065-0.12978%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.16-0.01-0.012664%0.191-0.034100%0.02
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.020.001100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
David Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Todd Fuller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.00-0.00350%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00952%0.013-0.08333%-0.03
Duane Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00442%-0.042-0.04425%-0.06
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.050.02237%-0.081-0.05425%-0.06
Brandon Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.0260%-0.083-0.0800%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.050.011240%-0.093-0.08667%-0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.25-0.06-0.031933%-0.167-0.13425%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.00.831.015.026.20.729.0126.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +21.9%
WAS +10.0%
GSW -7.4%
WAS +26.4%
GSW -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASGSWNBAWASGSWNBA
this game14.514.415.699.087.9102.5
season15.115.6102.892.9
opponent15.015.6102.8102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.112.314.917.314.5
GSW14.113.415.714.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace90900.67-0.170.840.0820-82814.713.51.1614.810.64.23
Tracy Murray89880.66-0.160.82-0.0725-133814.316.3-1.9514.513.80.66
Rod Strickland87860.57-0.070.65-0.1023-113414.415.8-1.4114.414.20.29
Calbert Cheaney79790.390.110.29-0.0716-42014.016.7-2.6914.813.01.76
Chris Whitney39380.220.28-0.050.25-113-1414.314.7-0.3813.315.1-1.81
Harvey Grant57560.200.30-0.090.1139-614.914.00.8714.913.71.21
Lawrence Moten67-0.030.53-0.550.21-820-2817.214.42.7911.414.6-3.20
Terry Davis4038-0.090.59-0.680.09-618-2414.814.30.5214.214.5-0.27
Darvin Ham1313-0.110.61-0.720.24-1224-3616.814.22.5611.914.8-2.86

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle17170.13-0.630.76-0.056-182412.414.8-2.4113.114.8-1.71
Duane Ferrell52510.00-0.500.50-0.062-141615.713.02.6316.013.03.06
Todd Fuller3132-0.16-0.340.18-0.222-141614.214.5-0.3514.714.50.26
David Vaughn89-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-121211.514.7-3.1615.614.41.12
Joe Smith8686-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-5-214.513.80.7314.614.30.30
Brandon Williams4548-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.11-8-4-413.015.6-2.6113.815.2-1.44
Erick Dampier7171-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-175-2214.713.61.1114.714.20.42
Tony Delk8484-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.12-10-2-814.613.51.0314.912.42.50
Dickey Simpkins3333-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.22-7-5-213.714.7-1.0213.515.1-1.57
Donyell Marshall6869-0.49-0.01-0.470.13-219-3015.013.02.0013.915.9-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 113, CHA 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
MIA 105, NYK 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
DET 90, CLE 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.1%