NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	105		Excitement	5.2 [782]		MVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): +9.4%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.3 [848]		LVP	Ron Baker (NYK): -15.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	71%	0.18	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	64%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Okaro White	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	3	117%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	17	49%	-0.00	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.02
Rodney McGruder	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	53%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marshall Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ndour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	0.04	13	56%	0.02	3	-0.11	10	70%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.05	12	22%	-0.11	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	28.6	14.7	28.4	2.5	26.2	126.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +60.8%

NYK -7.5%

NYK -14.6%

MIA +8.8%

MIA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	14.8	114.1	95.7	107.7
season	15.4	15.0		106.7	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.9	15.7	15.0	17.1	15.6
NYK	15.8	15.0	15.6	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	52	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.15	23	-6	29	16.3	14.8	1.47	16.3	14.8	1.44
Josh Richardson	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	2	13	15.7	15.6	0.10	15.3	16.6	-1.22
Tyler Johnson	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	1	15	15.7	15.6	0.10	14.7	17.4	-2.70
James Johnson	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	6	5	15.7	15.5	0.27	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Okaro White	39	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	8	1	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Goran Dragic	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.11	13	4	9	15.7	15.4	0.34	16.4	14.0	2.37
Rodney McGruder	24	24	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	14	-11	14.3	16.1	-1.75	18.0	14.9	3.15
Luke Babbitt	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	18	-19	14.4	16.2	-1.73	17.8	14.7	3.04
Wayne Ellington	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	17	-17	16.6	15.0	1.66	14.4	16.5	-2.08
Willie Reed	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	21	-25	15.0	16.0	-1.06	14.4	16.4	-2.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	25	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-16	15	15.3	15.8	-0.49	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Sasha Vujacic	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	18.2	15.5	2.67	13.6	15.7	-2.15
Marshall Plumlee	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	18.2	15.5	2.67	13.6	15.7	-2.15
Maurice Ndour	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-15	13	18.3	15.4	2.95	13.9	15.8	-1.93
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-13	9	14.0	16.5	-2.43	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Justin Holiday	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-9	1	14.3	17.1	-2.86	16.3	15.0	1.30
Chasson Randle	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-6	-5	15.4	15.9	-0.45	15.0	16.1	-1.05
Carmelo Anthony	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-6	-5	16.1	15.1	1.02	16.3	14.7	1.67
Willy Hernangomez	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-11	5	16.1	15.3	0.74	14.9	16.3	-1.34
Kristaps Porzingis	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	-3	-11	15.3	16.7	-1.34	15.9	14.8	1.07
Courtney Lee	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.18	-21	4	-25	16.7	14.1	2.52	16.0	15.0	1.05
Ron Baker	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-6	-5	15.8	14.9	0.88	15.8	14.7	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 113, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
NYK 98, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
MEM 95, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	94.2%