NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	86		Excitement	8.1 [206]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +20.0%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	1.7 [749]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -31.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Stewart	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	7	87%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19,-0.08,0.04	-0.03	0.08	0.00	16	67%	0.28	7	-0.24	7	57%	-0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	13	23%	-0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.32	-0.11	-0.21	0.00	11	48%	0.01	5	-0.33	3	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.2	0.20	-0.05	0.22	-0.03	17	41%	0.20	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	12	62%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	11	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	17	54%	0.01	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	15	38%	-0.08	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	25.2	15.5	25.9	1.8	37.0	133.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -5.1%

PHX +0.5%

PHX +4.8%

PHX +40.1%

PHX +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.6	91.5	93.6	102.5
season	15.2	15.0		98.5	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.3		100.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	15.9	13.7	17.2	15.2
PHX	15.0	12.9	14.5	20.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	28	28	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.08	-1	-1	0	16.3	14.7	1.57	15.8	15.3	0.47
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-2	2	15.5	15.2	0.33	11.2	15.6	-4.39
Corliss Williamson	88	88	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	1	-4	15.6	8.8	6.78	15.4	15.7	-0.22
Billy Owens	67	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-7	12	14.3	17.3	-2.92	15.6	15.1	0.47
Mitch Richmond	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	5	-12	14.5	16.3	-1.78	14.1	17.8	-3.69
Terry Dehere	30	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.42	6	-8	14	15.9	14.8	1.06	19.1	13.8	5.22
Michael Smith	38	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	1	-4	17.3	13.8	3.50	16.7	14.7	1.91
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	56	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	0	-2	16.0	14.0	1.94	16.1	14.7	1.43
Michael Stewart	56	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.43	-2	0	-2	13.8	17.3	-3.50	14.7	16.7	-1.91
Anthony Johnson	45	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	1	-4	14.3	16.0	-1.71	14.3	16.7	-2.42

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	65	66	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-13	28	14.5	17.5	-2.98	15.7	13.9	1.89
Kevin Johnson	32	35	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-8	18	15.1	15.6	-0.55	16.7	14.3	2.44
Antonio McDyess	77	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	15.4	15.8	-0.38	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Rex Chapman	68	66	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.59	14.4	16.9	-2.49
Steve Nash	11	10	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	-3	8	22.8	14.5	8.34	20.9	14.5	6.40
Jason Kidd	78	78	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.39	-7	9	-16	15.1	17.4	-2.31	14.2	19.9	-5.73
Mark Bryant	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	7	-12	18.6	13.7	4.90	16.4	14.5	1.87
Hot Rod Williams	28	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	2	-2	13.5	16.3	-2.74	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Clifford Robinson	78	77	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.11	-10	12	-22	15.3	16.3	-1.03	14.5	18.1	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.77,0.82,1	93.4%
DEN 91, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.72,1	93.1%
PHX 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.84,1	93.0%